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Even the most seasoned Middle East observers were taken aback by the events of early 2011. Protests born of oppression and socioeconomic frustration erupted throughout the streets; public unrest provoked violent police backlash; long-established dictatorships fell. How did this all happen? What might the future look like, and what are the likely ramifications for the United States and the rest of the world? In The Arab Awakening, experts from the Brookings Institution tackle such questions to make sense of this tumultuous region that remains at the heart of U.S. national interests. The first portion of The Arab Awakeningoffers broad lessons by analyzing key aspects of the Mideast turmoil, such as public opinion trends within the "Arab Street"; the role of social media and technology; socioeconomic and demographic conditions; the influence of Islamists; and the impact of the new political order on the Arab-Israeli peace process. The next section looks at the countries themselves, finding commonalties and grouping them according to the political evolutions that have (or have not) occurred in each country. The section offers insight into the current situation, and possible trajectory of each group of countries, followed by individual nation studies. The Arab Awakeningbrings the full resources of Brookings to bear on making sense of what may turn out to be the most significant geopolitical movement of this generation. It is essential reading for anyone looking to understand these developments and their consequences. Contents Part I: Understanding the Transformation of the Middle East Part II: The New Democracies Part III: The Struggle for Reform Part IV: The Civil Wars Part V: The Basket Cases: What Now? Conclusion: A New American Grand Strategy for the Middle East Authors include Daniel Byman, Khaled Elgindy, Stephen Grand, Shadi Hamid, Suzanne Maloney, Kenneth M. Pollack, Bruce Riedel, Salman Shaikh, Ibrahim Sharquieh, and Shibley Telhami.
Table of Contents
|Preface: Why Should You Read This Book?||p. xi|
|Introduction: Understanding the Arab Awakening||p. 1|
|The Dynamics of the Arab Spring|
|Arab Public Opinion: What Do They Want?||p. 13|
|Democratization 101: Historical Lessons for the Arab Spring||p. 21|
|Islamists and the Brotherhood: Political Islam and the Arab Spring||p. 29|
|The Impact of New Media: The Revolution Will Be Tweeted||p. 39|
|The Impact on the Peace Process: Peacemaker or Peacebreaker?||p. 47|
|The Arab Militaries: The Double-Edged Swords||p. 58|
|The Economic Dimension: The Price of Freedom||p. 66|
|Terrorism: Al-Qaeda and the Arab Spring||p. 76|
|Countries in Transition|
|Democratizers? The Pursuit of Pluralism||p. 87|
|Iraq: The Roller Coaster of Democracy||p. 94|
|Egypt: The Prize||p. 102|
|Tunisia: Birthplace of the Revolution||p. 111|
|Libya: From Revolt to State-Building||p. 117|
|The Palestinians: Between National Liberation and Political Legitimacy||p. 128|
|The Imperative of Reform|
|Reform: Convincing Reluctant Regimes to Change||p. 141|
|Making Reform Credible: The Critical Piece of the Puzzle||p. 148|
|Saudi Arabia: The Elephant in the Living Room||p. 159|
|Jordan: An Imperfect State||p. 168|
|Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, and the UAE: The Nervous Bystanders||p. 176|
|Bahrain: Island of Troubles||p. 188|
|Morocco: The Model for Reform?||p. 196|
|Algeria: Whistling Past the Graveyard||p. 206|
|States in Crisis|
|States in Civil War: Challenges for the United States||p. 213|
|Yemen: The Search for Stability and Development||p. 221|
|Syria: The Ghosts of Hama||p. 230|
|Other Regional Actors|
|Regional Actors: The Changing Balance of Power in the Middle East||p. 243|
|Israel: A Frosty Response to the Arab Spring||p. 250|
|Iran: The Bogeyman||p. 258|
|Turkey: An Interested Party||p. 268|
|The External Powers|
|External Powers: Riding the Tsunami||p. 277|
|Europe: Muddling Through||p. 285|
|Russia: Moscow Does Not Believe in Change||p. 291|
|China: Unease from Afar||p. 298|
|The International Order and the Emerging Powers: Implications of the Arab Awakening||p. 305|
|The United States: A New American Grand Strategy for the Middle East||p. 311|
|Appendix: Political, Social, and Economic Indicators of the Middle East||p. 319|
|About the Authors||p. 365|
|Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved.|