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The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has been issuing the essential facts and figures on climate change for nearly two decades. But the hundreds of pages of scientific evidence quoted for accuracy by the media and scientists alike, remain inscrutable to the general public who may still question the validity of climate change. steemed climate scientists Michael E. Mann and Lee R. Kump, have partnered with DK Publishing to present Dire Predictions-an important book in this time of global need. Dire Predictions presents the information documented by the IPCC in an illustrated, visually-stunning, and undeniably powerful way to the lay reader. The scientific findings that provide validity to the implications of climate change are presented in clear-cut graphic elements, striking images, and understandable analogies.
Michael E. Mann is an Associate Professor in the Departments of Meteorology and Geosciences at Pennsylvania State University and the Director of the Penn State Earth System Science Center Lee R. Kump is a Professor in the Department of Geosciences at Pennsylvania State University and an associate of the Penn State Earth System Science Center and the Penn State Astrobiology Research Center
Table of Contents
|About the IPCC||p. 8|
|About the authors||p. 9|
|What is up with the weather (and the climate!)?||p. 10|
|Climate Change Basics|
|The relative impacts of humans and nature on climate||p. 18|
|Taking action in the face of uncertainty||p. 20|
|Why is it called the greenhouse effect?||p. 22|
|Feedback loops compound the greenhouse effect||p. 24|
|What are the important greenhouse gases, and where do they come from?||p. 26|
|Isn't carbon dioxide causing the hole in the ozone layer?||p. 30|
|Greenhouse gases on the rise||p. 32|
|Couldn't the increase in atmospheric CO[subscript 2] be the result of natural cycles?||p. 34|
|It's getting hotter down here!||p. 36|
|Is our atmosphere really warming?||p. 38|
|Back to the future||p. 40|
|But weren't scientists warning us of an imminent Ice Age only decades ago?||p. 44|
|How does modern warming differ from past warming trends?||p. 46|
|What can a decade of western North American drought tell us about the future?||p. 48|
|What can the European heat wave of 2003 tell us about the future?||p. 52|
|A tempest in a greenhouse||p. 56|
|The vanishing snows of Kilimanjaro||p. 58|
|The day after tomorrow||p. 60|
|The last interglacial||p. 62|
|How to build a climate model||p. 64|
|Profile: James Hansen||p. 66|
|Comparing climate model predictions with observations||p. 68|
|Regional vs global trends||p. 70|
|"Fingerprints" distinguish human and natural impacts on climate||p. 72|
|Climate Change Projections|
|How sensitive is the climate?||p. 78|
|Fossil-fuel emissions scenarios||p. 86|
|The next century||p. 88|
|The geographical pattern of future warming||p. 92|
|Carbon-cycle feedbacks||p. 94|
|Melting ice and rising sea level||p. 98|
|Future changes in extreme weather||p. 100|
|Stabilizing atmospheric CO[subscript 2]||p. 104|
|The Impacts of Climate Change|
|The rising impact of global warming||p. 108|
|Is it time to sell that beach house?||p. 110|
|Coral reefs||p. 114|
|The highway to extinction?||p. 118|
|Profile: James Lovelock||p. 120|
|Too much and too little||p. 122|
|Is warming from carbon dioxide leading to more air pollution?||p. 126|
|...Pestilence and death||p. 132|
|Earth, wind, and fire||p. 134|
|Too wet and too hot||p. 136|
|The polar meltdown||p. 138|
|Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Change|
|Is global warming the last straw for vulnerable ecosystems?||p. 142|
|What is the best course for the coming century?||p. 144|
|It's the economy, stupid!||p. 146|
|A finger in the dike||p. 148|
|Water-management strategies||p. 150|
|A hard row to hoe||p. 152|
|Solving Global Warming|
|Solving global warming||p. 156|
|Where do all those emissions come from?||p. 158|
|Keeping the power turned on||p. 160|
|On the road again||p. 162|
|Building green||p. 166|
|Industrial CO[subscript 2] pollution||p. 168|
|Greener acres||p. 170|
|But what can I do about it?||p. 180|
|What's your carbon footprint?||p. 182|
|Global problems require international cooperation||p. 184|
|Can we achieve sustainable development?||p. 188|
|The ethics of climate change||p. 190|
|The known unknowns and the unknown unknowns||p. 192|
|The urgency of climate change||p. 194|
|Picture Credits/Author Acknowledgements||p. 208|
|Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved.|