9781608717415

Exit Polls: Surveying the American Electorate, 1972-2010

by ;
  • ISBN13:

    9781608717415

  • ISBN10:

    1608717410

  • Format: Hardcover
  • Copyright: 2012-02-14
  • Publisher: Cq Pr
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Supplemental Materials

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Summary

Every two years, exit polls become the most widely analyzed, written about and discussed data-set in the United States. Although exit polls are known for their use in predicting elections, they are in fact the best tool for explaining election results. Exit polls are taken from actual voters, whereas pre-election polls that tally people's intended votes are estimated to overstate the number of people who will actually go to the polls. Exit Polls: Surveying the American Electorate is a groundbreaking new reference work that explores for the first time the trends in longitudinal variables asked in the national Election Day exit polls from their beginning in 1972 to the present. The book documents comparable survey items that have appeared in multiple exit polls over time. Authors Samuel J. Best and Brian S. Krueger - both election commentators for CBS news and statistical experts - present more than 100 tables and 100 figures showing the changes in the electorate and its voting patterns over time. This work represents the first time exit poll data has been combined over time to show trends. Offering unique insight into the American electorate, this important new work is meant to serve novice and expert researchers alike.

Author Biography

Samuel J. Best is associate professor of political science at the University of Connecticut. He has written numerous articles on public opinion and electoral behavior appearing in journals such as the American Journal of Political Science and Public Opinion Quarterly. He has coauthored several books, including Internet Data Collection, with Brian S. Krueger (2004), and coedited Polling America: An Encyclopedia of Public Opinion (2006). He has served as an exit poll analyst for CBS News since 2004 and was the director of the Center for Survey Research and Analysis at the University of Connecticut. Brian S. Krueger is associate professor of political science at the University of Rhode Island. He has coauthored two books on polling and elections: The Politics of Cultural Differences (2002) and Internet Data Collection (2004). He has also written scholarly articles for journals such as Political Behavior and the Harvard International Journal of Press/Politics. He served as an exit poll analyst for CBS News during the 2008 election season.

Table of Contents

Tables and Figuresp. vii
Prefacep. xv
About the Authorsp. xix
The Exit Poll Phenomenonp. 1
A History of Exit Polls
How Exit Polls Work
Advantages and Disadvantages of Exit Polls
Design of the Book
Creating and Using Exit Poll Time Seriesp. 27
Creating a Cumulative National Data Set
Analyzing Exit Poll Questions
Presenting and Discussing the Exit Poll Data
Composition of the Exit Pollsp. 49
Physical Traits
Geographic Location
Religious Characteristics
Lifestyle Characteristics
Political Orientations
Economic Considerations
Comparing the Presidential and Midterm Exit Polls
Presidential Voting Preferences of Exit Poll Respondentsp. 123
Presidential Vote Choice
Physical Characteristics
Geographic Location
Religious Characteristics
Lifestyle Characteristics
Political Orientations
Economic Considerations
Partisan Predispositions of the Presidential Exit Polls
Congressional Voting Preferences of Exit Poll Respondentsp. 205
Congressional Vote Choice
Physical Characteristics
Geographic Location
Religious Characteristics
Lifestyle Characteristics
Political Orientations
Economic Considerations
Partisan Predispositions of the Congressional Exit Polls
Indexp. 299
Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved.

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