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9781568583693

The Future of Everything The Science of Prediction

by
  • ISBN13:

    9781568583693

  • ISBN10:

    1568583699

  • Format: Paperback
  • Copyright: 2008-02-26
  • Publisher: Basic Books

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Summary

From seers to scientists, mystics to meteorologists, there have always been people who claim to know what will happen in the future. The Oracle at Delphi, Pythagoras, Newton, and the stock analyst on the evening news have all endeavored to look forward in time. But even with recent technological advances and the help of computers and satellites, are we any better at predicting the future now than in the distant past? How can scientists claim to predict future climate events when even three-day forecasts prove a serious challenge? In The Future of Everything, David Orrell looks at the history of prognostication to show how scientists have tried to forecast the future, and breaks down the mathematics of what really goes into a predictive model. Compelling and elegantly written, The Future of Everything addresses some of the most important issues of our time. Book jacket.

Author Biography

David Orrell, Ph.D., received his doctorate in mathematics from the University of Oxford. His work in the prediction of complex systems has been featured in New Scientist and the Financial Times, and on BBC Radio, ABC Radio, and NPR. He lives in Vancouver, British Columbia.

Table of Contents

Introduction: The Science and Sociology of Forecastingp. 1
Past
Slings and Arrows: The Beginnings of Predictionp. 19
Let There Be Light: Tycho Brahe and the Model Makersp. 51
Divide and Conquer: The Gospel of Deterministic Sciencep. 84
Present
Red Sky at Night: Predicting the Weatherp. 123
It's in the Genes: Predicting Our Healthp. 174
Bulls and Bears: Predicting Our Economyp. 218
Future
The Big Picture: How Weather, Health, and Wealth Are Relatedp. 269
Back to the Drawing Board: Figuring Out Where We Went Wrongp. 313
Consulting the Crystal Ball: Our World in 2100p. 337
Appendicesp. 351
Notesp. 362
Glossaryp. 399
Bibliographyp. 410
Acknowledgementsp. 433
Indexp. 435
Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved.

Supplemental Materials

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The New copy of this book will include any supplemental materials advertised. Please check the title of the book to determine if it should include any access cards, study guides, lab manuals, CDs, etc.

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