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Preface | p. ix |
Introduction | p. 1 |
Probabilistic Foundations and Background | p. 7 |
Elementary Probability | p. 7 |
Conditional Probability and BayesÆ Rule | p. 8 |
Other Probabilistic Concepts | p. 14 |
Early Work on Music and Probability | p. 19 |
Melody I: The Rhythm Model | p. 23 |
Rhythm and Meter | p. 23 |
Previous Models of Meter Perception | p. 26 |
A Probabilistic Rhythm Model | p. 30 |
The Generative Process | p. 31 |
The Meter-Finding Process | p. 36 |
Testing the Model on Meter-Finding | p. 41 |
Problems and Possible Improvements | p. 43 |
Melody II: The Pitch Model | p. 49 |
Previous Models of Key-Finding | p. 50 |
The Pitch Model | p. 56 |
Testing the Model on Key-Finding | p. 62 |
Melody III: Expectation and Error Detection | p. 65 |
Calculating the Probability of a Melodic Surface | p. 65 |
Pitch Expectation | p. 66 |
Rhythmic Expectation | p. 71 |
Error Detection | p. 74 |
Further Issues | p. 76 |
A Polyphonic Key-Finding Model | p. 79 |
A Pitch-Class-Set Approach to Key-Finding | p. 79 |
The Generative Process | p. 83 |
The Key-Finding Process | p. 85 |
Comparing Distributional Models of Key-Finding | p. 89 |
Further Issues in Key-Finding | p. 92 |
Applications of the Polyphonic Key-Finding Model | p. 99 |
Key Relations | p. 99 |
Tonalness | p. 108 |
Tonal Ambiguity and Clarity | p. 116 |
Another Look at Major and Minor | p. 121 |
Ambiguous Pitch-Collections in Common-Practice Music | p. 125 |
Explaining Common Strategies of Tonal Harmony | p. 131 |
Bayesian Models of Other Aspects of Music | p. 139 |
Probabilistic Transcription Models | p. 139 |
Bod: The Perception of Phrase Structure | p. 143 |
Raphael and Stoddard: Harmonic Analysis | p. 147 |
Mavromatis: Modeling Greek Chant Improvisation | p. 151 |
Saffran et al.: Statistical Learning of Melodic Patterns | p. 156 |
Style and Composition | p. 159 |
Some Simple Cross-Entropy Experiments | p. 161 |
Modeling Stylistic Differences | p. 166 |
Testing Schenkerian Theory | p. 172 |
Communicative Pressure | p. 181 |
Communicative Pressure in Rules of Voice-Leading | p. 182 |
The Syncopation-Rubato Trade-Off | p. 184 |
Other Examples of Communicative Pressure in Rhythm | p. 191 |
öTrading Relationshipsö | p. 197 |
Low-Probability Events in Constrained Contexts | p. 202 |
Conclusions | p. 205 |
Notes | p. 209 |
References | p. 225 |
Author Index | p. 237 |
Subject Index | p. 241 |
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