9780521054782

Systems in Crisis: New Imperatives of High Politics at Century's End

by
  • ISBN13:

    9780521054782

  • ISBN10:

    0521054788

  • Edition: Revised
  • Format: Paperback
  • Copyright: 2008-01-21
  • Publisher: Cambridge University Press
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Summary

Uncertainty is the watchword of contemporary world politics. Monumental changes are occurring throughout the international system and statespeople are wrestling with peaceful solutions to the transformation in relative power of the USA, Soviet Union and China, Japan and in Europe. In this book, Charles Doran proposes a managed solution to peaceful change. He presents a bold, original and wide-ranging analysis of the present balance of power, of future prospects for the international system and of the problems involved in this transformation. Professor Doran demonstrates why such change has often been accompanied by world war, providing new insights into the causes of the First World War. But, he argues, systems change can be both peaceful and secure. Developing a theory of the power cycle, the author reveals the structural bounds on statecraft and shows how the tides of history can suddenly and unexpectedly shift against the state.

Table of Contents

Preface
Acknowledgements
Introduction: new perspectives on the causes and management of systems crisis
Dynamics of State Power and Role: Systems Structure
What is power cycle theory? Introducing the main concepts
Measuring national capability and power
The cycle of state power and role
Dynamics of Major War and Systems Transformation
Critical intervals on the power cycle: why wars become major
Systemic disequilibrium and world war
Dynamics of General Equilibrium and World Order
Prerequisites of world order: international political equilibrium
World order and systems transformation: guidelines for statecraft
Systems Transformation and World Order at Century's End
Systems change since 1945: instability at critical points and awareness of the power cycle
Is decline inevitable? US leadership and the systemic security dilemma
Systems transformation and the new imperatives of high politics
Appendix: mathematical relations in the power cycle
References
Index
Table of Contents provided by Publisher. All Rights Reserved.

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