Foreword | p. xi |
Preface | p. xiii |
Acknowledgments | p. xvii |
Introduction | p. 1 |
Searching for a Solution | p. 1 |
Why Manage Risk? | p. 2 |
Why is Risk Management Difficult to Implement? | p. 7 |
What is Risk? | p. 11 |
The Business of Risk | p. 11 |
Defining Risk: Loss, Uncertainty, and Horizon | p. 12 |
More Ways to Think about Risk | p. 14 |
Taxonomy of Risks | p. 15 |
Risk and Reward: Modern Portfolio Theory | p. 19 |
Risk Management Principles | p. 22 |
Words to Live by | p. 22 |
Know Your Risks | p. 23 |
Articulate Your Risk Appetite | p. 25 |
Develop a Well-Defined Risk Culture | p. 27 |
Use a Common Language | p. 29 |
Develop Capabilities and Approaches in Line with the Size, Complexity, and Culture of Your Organization | p. 30 |
Make It Transparent and Comprehensive | p. 31 |
Construct Clear Limits and Controls | p. 32 |
Align Performance and Incentives to Risk and Reward | p. 33 |
Develop Comprehensive Forecasting, Stress Testing, and Challenge Processes | p. 34 |
Provide Active Leadership and Direction | p. 35 |
Construct Strong Governance and Oversight | p. 37 |
Make Continuous Improvements | p. 39 |
Building the Risk-Management Framework | p. 40 |
All the Right Elements | p. 40 |
Your Risk Management Organization | p. 44 |
Your Risk Culture | p. 48 |
Your Governance Model | p. 52 |
Your Policies and Processes | p. 55 |
Your Data and Systems | p. 58 |
Measuring Risk and Capital | p. 64 |
Why Measure Risk? | p. 64 |
Laying Out the Fundamentals, from the Top Down | p. 65 |
Probability, Exposure, and Severity | p. 67 |
Probability Distributions | p. 69 |
Expected Loss | p. 72 |
Unexpected Loss and Value at Risk | p. 74 |
Economic Capital | p. 76 |
The Role of Data and Assumptions | p. 79 |
Managing across the Economic Cycle | p. 81 |
Stress Testing | p. 83 |
Validation of Models | p. 84 |
Modeling Credit Risk | p. 87 |
Modeling Market Risk | p. 94 |
Modeling Operational Risk | p. 100 |
Jump Diffusion and Extreme Value Theory | p. 103 |
Managing Trade-Offs Between Risk and Reward | p. 105 |
The CEO Challenge | p. 105 |
Performance Measures-The Basics | p. 108 |
Performance Measures-Multi-Period Calculations | p. 112 |
Capital Attribution and Allocation | p. 115 |
Applying Performance Measures | p. 119 |
Top-Down versus Bottom-Up | p. 125 |
Understanding Your Appetite for Risk | p. 126 |
Identifying the Risk Appetite | p. 126 |
Risk Appetite and ICAAP | p. 128 |
Building the Risk Appetite Statement | p. 129 |
Managing the Risk Appetite (Process) | p. 135 |
Governance and Risk Appetite | p. 138 |
The Living Will | p. 138 |
Integrating Risk Management into Your Organization | p. 141 |
Embedding Risk Management | p. 141 |
What is Enterprise Risk Management? | p. 142 |
Culture | p. 144 |
Incentives and Compensation | p. 147 |
Your Organization | p. 149 |
Lines of Defense | p. 152 |
Reporting, Monitoring, and Decision-Making | p. 156 |
Leveraging your Business Rhythm | p. 159 |
ERM and COSO | p. 162 |
Leveraging Risk for Business Excellence | p. 164 |
More than Compliance | p. 164 |
Introducing the Customer Lifecycle | p. 166 |
Leveraging the Upside | p. 167 |
Managing the Downside | p. 179 |
Optimization | p. 182 |
Basel II and Beyond | p. 191 |
Basel II: What's It All About? | p. 191 |
The Regulator Viewpoint | p. 195 |
Basel II Basics | p. 200 |
Special Challenges and Requirements | p. 214 |
Is It Worth It? | p. 219 |
Key Differences from Economic Approaches | p. 222 |
Beyond Basel II: Basel III and Regulatory Reform | p. 223 |
Solvency II | p. 228 |
Impacts on Financial Institutions and Financial Markets | p. 231 |
Non-Bank Financial Institutions | p. 232 |
Too Big to Fail | p. 232 |
Afterword | p. 235 |
About the Author | p. 238 |
Index | p. 239 |
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