Assessing Capabilities and Risks in Air Force Programming Framework, Metrics, and Methods

by Snyder, Don; Mills, Patrick; Resnick, Adam C.; Fulton, Brent D.

• ISBN13: 9780833046086
• ISBN10: 083304608X
• Format: Paperback
• Copyright: 2009-07-16
• Publisher: RAND Corporation

Summary

The findings presented here reexamine capabilities-based programming by introducing a new definition of capability metrics and a new set of algorithms for building and evaluating programs. The tools provide the programmer with a means to quantitatively and reproducibly develop programming options in light of an uncertain future, serving as a means to express capabilities and risks of resource allocations in terms of national planning objectives.

Table of Contents

Preface	p. iii
Figures	p. vii
Tables	p. ix
Summary	p. xi
Acknowledgments	p. xv
Abbreviations	p. xvii
Chapter 1	p. 1
Chapter 2	p. 5
Current Air Force Planning and Programming	p. 5
Current Capabilities Review and Risk Assessment	p. 9
A Critical Review of Current Capabilities-Based Programming	p. 11
Chapter 3	p. 15
Defining Capabilities for Programming	p. 17
Matching Resources to Capabilities	p. 21
Balancing Procurement and Sustainment Decisions	p. 24
Salient Resource Attributes for Procurement and Sustainment Decisions	p. 31
Attrition Rate	p. 32
Times for Procurement and Reconstitution	p. 32
Costs	p. 33
Chapter 4	p. 35
A Methodology for Capabilities-Based Programming	p. 35
Modeling Approach	p. 36
Structure of the Prototype Software	p. 38
Resource Demands	p. 39
Resource States and Attributes	p. 40
Optimization Modes	p. 42
Minimizing Costs	p. 42
Maximizing Capability	p. 47
Robust Programming	p. 49
Chapter 5	p. 55
Insights into Programming Policy	p. 56
Single-Scenario Set Cases	p. 56
Robust Programming	p. 61
Conclusions and Recommendations	p. 65
Bibliography	p. 69
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