Assessing The Tradecraft Of Intelligence Analysis

by Treverton, Gregory F.; Gabbard, Bryan C.

• ISBN13: 9780833039583
• ISBN10: 083303958X
• Format: Paperback
• Copyright: 2008-03-10
• Publisher: RAND Corporation

Summary

This report assesses intelligence analysis across the main U.S. intelligence agencies and makes a number of recommendations, some of which parallel initiatives that have begun in the wake of the December 2004 legislation, for instance, create a Deputy Director of National Intelligence as a focal point for analysis, establish a National Intelligence University, build a Long Term Analysis Unit at the National Intelligence Council, and form an Open Source Center for making more creative use of open-source materials.

Table of Contents

Figures
Tables
Introduction	p. 1
The Analytic Community Today	p. 3
Analytic Skill Sets and Major Tradeoffs	p. 5
Examining the Interviews in More Detail	p. 9
Key Themes for Leveraging Future R&D Priorities	p. 13
A Pyramid of Analytic Tasks	p. 13
Insiders Versus Outsiders	p. 15
The Range of Tools	p. 18
Initiatives to Link Tools to Tasks	p. 24
Building the Human Capital for the Future	p. 27
Reforming Compensation and Incentives?	p. 27
Training Analysts	p. 29
A New Generation of Analysts	p. 31
A Vision of the Analytic Community Tomorrow	p. 33
Changing Tradecraft Characteristics	p. 33
Issue 1: Workforce Data	p. 36
Issue 2: R&D on Methods, Datasets, Analytic Techniques, and Tools	p. 36
Issue 3: Education, Training, and Tradecraft	p. 37
Issue 4: Getting and Keeping the Next Generation of Analysts	p. 39
Issue 5: Data-Sharing, Compartmentation, and Secrecy	p. 40
Issue 6: All-Source Analysis	p. 41
Issue 7: New Kinds of Intelligence, Especially "Domestic"	p. 43
Issue 8: Analysis versus Collection-Driven Intelligence	p. 44
Issue 9: Reporting versus Analysis	p. 45
Issue 10: Organizing the Intelligence Community	p. 46
A Final Word	p. 49
Recommended Actions	p. 51
Bibliography	p. 53
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