Tables, Figures, and Maps | p. xiii |
Preface | p. xvii |
Introduction: Dimensions of Democracy | p. 1 |
A Tale of Two Presidents | p. 1 |
Definitions of Democracy | p. 6 |
Elections | p. 8 |
Rights | p. 10 |
Overview: Focus and Themes | p. 12 |
Interpretive Arguments | p. 13 |
Analytical Perspectives | p. 14 |
Historical Perspectives, 1900-2000 | |
Cycles of Electoral Democracy | p. 19 |
Legacies of Independence | p. 20 |
Cycles and Trends | p. 23 |
Global and Comparative Perspectives | p. 31 |
Democratic Dominoes? | p. 34 |
Subregional Variations and the Colossus of the North | p. 35 |
Lessons over Time: Prior Experience | p. 38 |
Democracy and Instability | p. 40 |
Transitions and Continuities | p. 43 |
Starting Points | p. 44 |
Economic Requisites? | p. 47 |
Social Forces | p. 52 |
Cycle 1:1900-1939 | p. 54 |
Cycle 2:1940-1977 | p. 57 |
Cycle 3:1978-2000 | p. 59 |
End Games and Elite Bargains | p. 63 |
The Bargaining Process | p. 63 |
Getting to Cases | p. 66 |
Patterns of Change in Perspective | p. 69 |
The Military: Heading for the Exits? | p. 72 |
Forging Fatherlands | p. 73 |
Patterns of Participation | p. 76 |
Missions and Regimes | p. 79 |
Wars Against Subversion | p. 83 |
Democrats' Dilemma: To Amnesty or Not? | p. 89 |
Precedents from Argentina | p. 91 |
Chilean Twists | p. 95 |
Modes of Interaction: The Armed Forces and Democracy | p. 100 |
Has the Military Left? | p. 104 |
Global Contexts, International Forces | p. 106 |
Imperialism and Democracy | p. 107 |
The Anticommunist Crusades | p. 110 |
Stemming the Tides of Revolution | p. 113 |
Displacing Inconvenient Democracies | p. 115 |
Economic Issues: Debt and Structural Reform | p. 118 |
The Political Economy of Globalization | p. 121 |
Drugs, Dictators, and U.S. Policy | p. 121 |
International Organizations | p. 125 |
The Electoral Arena | |
Presidents or Parliaments? | p. 135 |
The Terms of Debate | p. 135 |
Envisioning Alternatives | p. 137 |
Proparliamentary Arguments | p. 140 |
Counterarguments | p. 142 |
Semipresidentialism/Semiparliamentarism? | p. 145 |
Attempts at Reform | p. 145 |
Brazil: Voice of the Voters | p. 146 |
Argentina: Calculating Political Odds | p. 148 |
Chile: A Pact for Presidentialism | p. 150 |
Why Not? | p. 152 |
Institutional Variations | p. 154 |
Executive Power | p. 155 |
Means of Election | p. 157 |
To Reelect or Not? | p. 159 |
Sources of Power | p. 161 |
The Legislative Branch | p. 163 |
Electoral Systems and Rules of Representation | p. 165 |
Reelection and Term Limits | p. 169 |
Institutional Performance | p. 171 |
Toppling Presidents? | p. 173 |
Parties and Party Systems | p. 175 |
Taking the Measure of Parties | p. 175 |
Gauging Public Distrust | p. 178 |
Elections: Voters, Winners, and Losers | p. 180 |
Expanding the Electorate | p. 181 |
Participation | p. 184 |
Competitiveness | p. 189 |
The Range of Choice | p. 192 |
Impacts of Bureaucratic-Authoritarianism | p. 193 |
Legacies of Military Populism | p. 194 |
A Resurgence of the Left | p. 197 |
Digression: Schisms on the Left | p. 200 |
Dilemmas of Democracy: Representation vs. Governance | p. 202 |
Qualities of Democracy | |
State Capacity and Policy Performance | p. 211 |
The Latin American State: Roles and Capacities | p. 212 |
Democracy vs. Dictatorship: General Hypotheses | p. 216 |
The Politics of Economic Growth | p. 218 |
Social Impacts: Health and Education | p. 223 |
The Problem of Poverty | p. 226 |
Inequality and Income Distribution | p. 231 |
The Politics of Social Equity | p. 235 |
Losing Ground: The Working Class | p. 237 |
Signs of Hard Times | p. 238 |
Zero-Sum Politics | p. 242 |
Women: Moving Up | p. 243 |
Patterns of Participation | p. 245 |
Political Representation | p. 247 |
Positions and Policies | p. 251 |
Gathering Strength: Indigenous Peoples | p. 253 |
Bolivia: Party Politics | p. 254 |
Ecuador: Strength in Social Movements | p. 256 |
Guatemala: Civil War and Genocide | p. 257 |
Freedoms, Rights, and Illiberal Democracy | p. 263 |
Gradations of Democracy | p. 264 |
Freedom of the Press | p. 266 |
Anidefamation Laws and Policies | p. 269 |
Analytical Overview | p. 271 |
The Uneven Rule of Law | p. 273 |
The Roles of Courts | p. 278 |
The Changing Content of Electoral Democracy | p. 281 |
Pathways to Full Democracy | p. 284 |
The People's Verdict | p. 289 |
The Concept of Political Culture | p. 290 |
Democracy in Principle | p. 296 |
The Relevance of Social Class | p. 298 |
Democracy in Practice | p. 299 |
Case Study: Insights from Argentina | p. 302 |
Political Ideology | p. 302 |
Trust in Institutions | p. 304 |
Roots of Disenchantment | p. 305 |
Activism and Protest | p. 308 |
Democracy Considered | |
The Dialectic of Democracy | p. 313 |
Findings in Review | p. 314 |
Changing Shapes of Democracy | p. 318 |
Democracy in the Era of Mass Politics | p. 320 |
1940-1977: Dangers of Democracy | p. 321 |
1978-Present: Democracy Made Safe | p. 323 |
1998-Present: Democracy Turns Left | p. 326 |
Epilogue: The Future of Democracy | p. 329 |
The International Environment | p. 329 |
Economic Dimensions | p. 332 |
The Crash of 2007-2009 | p. 332 |
Transnational Crime | p. 333 |
Political Developments | p. 335 |
Democratic Tendencies | p. 335 |
The Question of Consolidation | p. 338 |
Deepening Democracy? | p. 339 |
Survival, Institutionalization, and Legitimation | p. 341 |
Alternative Scenarios | p. 343 |
Standing Fast | p. 343 |
Backsliding | p. 343 |
Moving Ahead | p. 344 |
Classification of Electoral Regimes, 1900-2000 | p. 345 |
Military Coups in Latin America, 1900-2000 | p. 352 |
Suggested Readings | p. 355 |
Index | p. 361 |
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