Dynamic Population Models

by Schoen, Robert

• ISBN13: 9781402052293
• ISBN10: 1402052294
• Format: Hardcover
• Copyright: 2007-02-03
• Publisher: Springer Verlag

Summary

Dynamic Population Models is the first book to comprehensively discuss and synthesize the emerging field of dynamic modeling, i.e. the analysis and application of population models that have changing vital rates. Incorporating the latest research, it includes thorough discussions of population growth and momentum under gradual fertility declines, the impact of changes in the timing of events on fertility measures, and the complex relationship between period and cohort measures. Recently developed models for the analysis of changing mortality are examined, and generalizations of Lotka's fixed rate stable population model are developed and applied.The book is well organized and clearly written so that it is accessible to those with only a minimal knowledge of calculus. It begins with a review of fixed rate population models, from the basic life table to multistate stable populations. The process of convergence to stability is described, and the regularities underlying change in the size and composition of any population are explored. Techniques for estimating rates from multistate population distributions are presented, and new multi-age, multistate dynamic models are developed. Building on the logical closure of demographic models and the close relationship between population stocks and flows, the book sets forth the latest approaches for capturing population change in a world experiencing profound demographic transformations.

Table of Contents

Population models with constant rates	p. 1
Convergence to stability	p. 27
Population momentum	p. 43
Demographic change at the margin	p. 59
Longevity and dynamic mortality	p. 79
Timing effects on fertility, marriage, and divorce	p. 101
Dynamic birth-death (multi-age) models	p. 123
Dynamic multistate models	p. 161
Dynamic models with multiple ages and states	p. 203
Matrices and their eigenstructure	p. 217
Table of Contents provided by Blackwell. All Rights Reserved.