Modeling Demographic Processes in Marked Populations

by Thomson, David L.; Cooch, Evan Graham; Conroy, Michael J.

• ISBN13: 9780387781501
• ISBN10: 0387781501
• Edition: 1st
• Format: Hardcover
• Copyright: 2008-12-01
• Publisher: Springer Nature

Summary

This book brings together biologists and statisticians in an interdisciplinary synthesis to develop new methods to overcome the most significant challenges and constraints faced by quantitative biologists seeking to model demographic rates.The book is centered on the ten key areas in the field where important problems in demographic analysis are being solved with new statistical methods. Each area presents one overview written by an acknowledged expert in this field, and four original research contributions.The 10 key areas are: - Abundance estimation; direct, proxies and point counts; Population dynamics; - Combining sources of information; - Dispersal movement and migration; - State uncertainty: assignment error and unobservable states; - Robust design: sampling, applications and advances; - Bayesian applications: advances, random effects and hierarchical models; - Evolutionary ecology; - Wildlife and conservation management; - Software developments for the modelling of demographic rates in marked populations.

Table of Contents

Population Dynamics - Growth, Density-Dependence and Decomposing ¿
Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Inference About Population Growth	p. 3
Assessing Density-Dependence: Where Are We Left?	p. 19
The Efficient Semiparametric Regression Modeling of Capture-Recapture Data: Assessing the Impact of Climate on Survival of Two Antarctic Seabird Species	p. 43
Multivariate State Space Modelling of Bird Migration Count Data	p. 59
Evolutionary Ecology
Contribution of Capture-Mark-Recapture Modeling to Studies of Evolution by Natural Selection	p. 83
Application of Capture-Recapture to Addressing Questions in Evolutionary Ecology	p. 131
Estimating Reproductive Costs with Multi-State Mark-Recapture Models, Multiple Observable States, and Temporary Emigration	p. 157
Estimating Latent Time of Maturation and Survival Costs of Reproduction in Continuous Time from Capture-Recapture Data	p. 173
Abundance Estimation - Direct Methods, Proxies, Occupancy Models and Point Count Data
Inferences About Landbird Abundance from Count Data: Recent Advances and Future Directions	p. 201
Sources of Measurement Error, Misclassification Error, and Bias in Auditory Avian Point Count Data	p. 237
Density Estimation by Spatially Explicit Capture-Recapture: Likelihood-Based Methods	p. 255
A Generalized Mixed Effects Model of Abundance for Mark-Resight Data When Sampling is Without Replacement	p. 271
Evaluation of the Linkage Disequilibrium Method for Estimating Effective Population Size	p. 291
Dispersal, Movement and Migration - Methods and Multi-State Models
Migration and Movement - The Next Stage	p. 323
Stopover Duration Analysis with Departure Probability Dependent on Unknown Time Since Arrival	p. 349
Habitat Selection, Age-Specific Recruitment and Reproductive Success in a Long-Lived Seabird	p. 365
Cubic Splines for Estimating the Distribution of Residence Time Using Individual Resightings Data	p. 393
Detecting Invisible Migrants: An Application of Genetic Methods to Estimate Migration Rates	p. 417
Wildlife and Conservation Management
Stochastic Variation in Avian Survival Rates: Life-History Predictions, Population Consequences, and the Potential Responses to Human Perturbations and Climate Change	p. 441
Filling a Void: Abundance Estimation of North American Populations of Arctic Geese Using Hunter Recoveries	p. 463
Integration of Demographic Analyses and Decision Modeling in Support of Management of Invasive Monk Parakeets, an Urban and Agricultural Pest	p. 491
Combining Sources of Information - Kalman Filters, Matrix Methods and Joint Likelihoods
Completing the Ecological Jigsaw	p. 513
Using a State-Space Model of the British Song Thrush Turdus philomelos Population to Diagnose the Causes of a Population Decline	p. 541
A Hierarchical Covariate Model for Detection, Availability and Abundance of Florida Manatees at a Warm Water Aggregation Site	p. 563
An Integrated Analysis of Multisite Recruitment, Mark-Recapture-Recovery and Multisite Census Data	p. 579
Bayesian Applications - Advances, Random Effects and Hierarchical Models
Bayes Factors and Multimodel Inference	p. 595
Estimating Demographic Parameters from Complex Data Sets: A Comparison of Bayesian Hierarchical and Maximum-Likelihood Methods for Estimating Survival Probabilities of Tawny Owls, Strix aluco in Finland	p. 617
Inference About Species Richness and Community Structure Using Species-Specific Occupancy Models in the National Swiss Breeding Bird Survey MHB	p. 639
Time-Varying Covariates and Semi-Parametric Regression in Capture-Recapture: An Adaptive Spline Approach	p. 657
A Further Step Toward the Mother-of-All-Models: Flexibility and Functionality in the Modeling of Capture-Recapture Data	p. 677
The Robust Design - Sampling, Applications and Advances
Exploring Extensions to Multi-State Models with Multiple Unobservable States	p. 693
Extending the Robust Design for DNA-Based Capture-Recapture Data Incorporating Genotyping Error and Laboratory Data	p. 711
A Traditional and a Less-Invasive Robust Design: Choices in Optimizing Effort Allocation for Seabird Population Studies	p. 727
Non-random Temporary Emigration and the Robust Design: Conditions for Bias at the End of a Time Series	p. 745
State Uncertainty - Assignment Error and Unobservable States
One Size Does Not Fit All: Adapting Mark-Recapture and Occupancy Models for State Uncertainty	p. 765
The Stakes of Capture-Recapture Models with State Uncertainty	p. 781
Rank and Redundancy of Multistate Mark-Recapture Models for Seabird Populations with Unobservable States	p. 797
Mark-Recapture Jolly-Seber Abundance Estimation with Classification Uncertainty	p. 827
Program E-SURGE: A Software Application for Fitting Multievent Models	p. 845
Estimation of Lifetime Reproductive Success When Reproductive Status Cannot Always Be Assessed	p. 867
New Software Developments for Modeling Demographic Processes
WinBUGS for Population Ecologists: Bayesian Modeling Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods	p. 883
Comparison of Fixed Effect, Random Effect, and Hierarchical Bayes Estimators for Mark Recapture Data Using AD Model Builder	p. 917
Open Forum
On Adjusting for Missed Visits in the Indexing of Abundance from "Constant Effort" Ringing	p. 949
Simulation Performance of Bayesian Estimators of Abundance Employing Age-at-Harvest and Mark-Recovery Data	p. 965
A Spatial Model for Estimating Mortality Rates, Abundance and Movement Probabilities from Fishery Tag-Recovery Data	p. 987
Gaussian Semiparametric Analysis Using Hierarchical Predictive Models	p. 1011
Effect of Senescence on Estimation of Survival Probability When Age Is Unknown	p. 1037
Weak Identifiability in Models for Mark-Recapture-Recovery Data	p. 1055
Estimating N: A Robust Approach to Capture Heterogeneity	p. 1069
Evaluation of Bias, Precision and Accuracy of Mortality Cause Proportion Estimators from Ring Recovery Data	p. 1081
Standardising Terminology and Notation for the Analysis of Demographic Processes in Marked Populations	p. 1099
Estimating the Seasonal Distribution of Migrant Bird Species: Can Standard Ringing Data Be Used?	p. 1107
Evaluation of a Bayesian MCMC Random Effects Inference Methodology for Capture-Mark-Recapture Data	p. 1119
Index	p. 1129
Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved.