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9781402009150

World Energy and Transitions to Sustainable Development

by ; ; ; ;
  • ISBN13:

    9781402009150

  • ISBN10:

    1402009151

  • Format: Hardcover
  • Copyright: 2002-10-01
  • Publisher: Kluwer Academic Pub
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Summary

This book presents the results of a study of long-term perspectives for energy development of the world and its main regions, performed at the Siberian Energy Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences (Energy Systems Institute since 1998). The methodological approach, the 10-regional Global Energy Model (GEM-10R) of the world energy system, energy demand forecasts, data on energy resources and energy technologies, and results of calculations based on mathematical models are described. Particular attention is given to determination of energy requirements and peculiarities of its technological structure that are caused by mankind's necessary transition to sustainable development. Economic and ecological consequences of constraints on greenhouse gas emissions and scales of nuclear energy production, as well as assistance of developed countries to developing ones are investigated. Problems of cheap oil, gas and uranium resources depletion, fuel price growth, synthetic fuel production and new energy technology implementation are analysed. The book is intended for specialists in energy and economics, as well as students and postgraduate students of technical high schools and universities. ac

Table of Contents

Preface vii
Part I. METHODOLOGY OF STUDIES AND EXTERNAL CONDITIONS OF ENERGY DEVELOPMENT IN THE 21st CENTURY 1(152)
World Energy: State of the Art and Trends in Development
3(24)
Definitions
3(2)
Statistical indicators
5(9)
Energy and economy
14(8)
Forecasts
22(5)
Methodology of Studies
27(18)
Energy and sustainable development
27(4)
General approach, composition and sequence of studies
31(8)
Mathematical model of the world energy system GEM-10R
39(6)
Energy Demand
45(38)
Peculiarities of energy demand forecasting
45(1)
The method of thermodynamic limits
46(13)
Sustainable energy consumption in developing countries
59(8)
Energy demand projection for the GEM-10R model
67(16)
Energy Resources
83(36)
Methodological aspects
83(6)
Fossil fuel resources
89(8)
Nuclear energy resources
97(4)
Potential of renewable energy sources
101(18)
Technologies of Energy Conversion and Final Consumption
119(34)
General remarks
119(1)
Technologies of electric power generation
120(14)
Technologies for production of secondary chemical energy carriers
134(5)
Technologies for production of final energy forms
139(3)
Space power systems
142(11)
Part II. STUDY ON PROBLEMS AND TENDENCIES OF ENERGY DEVELOPMENT IN THE 21st CENTURY 153(90)
Global Scenarios of External Conditions for Energy Development
155(4)
Changes in the World Energy Structure
159(22)
Primary energy consumption
159(10)
Depletion of cheap fuel resources and trends in changes of their prices
169(3)
Synthetic fuel production
172(4)
Use of energy carriers for final energy production
176(5)
Tendencies in Energy Development of World Regions and in Interregional Ties
181(22)
Peculiarities in regional energy structures and interregional fuel exchange
181(12)
Regional Peculiarities in using energy carriers and technologies for electrical, thermal and mechanical energy production
193(10)
Analysis of Conditions and Requirements of Sustainable Development
203(28)
Energy and climate change
203(6)
Expenses of energy development and GDP
209(6)
Principles of sharing expenses of CO2 emission reduction
215(8)
Modelling of relations between energy and the economy
223(8)
Directions and Priorities of Technological Progress in Energy
231(12)
Prospects for applying new energy technologies
231(8)
Technologically unified multi-product World energy system
239(4)
Conclusion 243(6)
References 249(10)
Acronyms 259(2)
Index 261

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