Stock Trader's Almanac 2021

by Hirsch, Jeffrey A.

• ISBN13: 9781119778769
• ISBN10: 111977876X
• Edition: 17th
• Format: Spiral Bound
• Copyright: 2020-12-30
• Publisher: Wiley

Summary

Grab your very own crystal ball for the 2021 financial markets

The 2021 Stock Trader's Almanac is your shortcut to understanding the cycles, trends, and patterns that will define stock trading in 2021. Based on strategies that have outperformed the S&P 500 by over 325% since 2001, the Almanac offers you proven and proprietary trading strategies, including Hirsch Holdings' "Best Six Months Switching Strategy," the January Barometer, the Four-Year Presidential Election/Stock Market Cycle, and top Sector Seasonalities.

The Almanac has been trusted by Barron's, the Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, and countless men and women alike since 1968. Organized in calendar format to keep you on top of upcoming opportunities you can’t afford to miss, this book will demonstrate each day why it's relied upon by top traders, investors, and money managers.

Perfect for stock trading novices, seasoned market pros, and those who have yet to dip their toe into the lucrative world of stock trading, the 2021 Stock Trader's Almanac is your ticket to a successful 2021.

Table of Contents

6 Introduction to the Fifty-Fourth Edition

8 2021 Outlook

10 2021 Strategy Calendar

12 January Almanac

14 January's First Five Days: An Early Warning System

16 The Incredible January Barometer (Devised 1972):Only Ten Significant Errors in 70 Years

18 January Barometer in Graphic Form Since 1950

20 Down Januarys: A Remarkable Record

22 February Almanac

24 Market Behavior Under New Presidents

26 Market Charts of Post-Presidential Election Years

28 Post-Election Year Performance by Party

30 March Almanac

32 Post-Election Years: Paying the Piper

34 The December Low Indicator: A Useful Prognosticating Tool

36 How to Trade Best Months Switching Strategies

38 April Almanac

40 Dow Jones Industrials One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1901

42 S&P 500 One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1930

44 NASDAQ, Russell 1000 & 2000 One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1971

46 May Almanac

48 Summer Market Volume Doldrums Drive Worst Six Months

50 Top Performing Months: Standard & Poor's 500 and Dow Jones Industrials

52 "Best Six Months": Still an Eye-Popping Strategy

54 MACD-Timing Triples "Best Six Months" Results

56 June Almanac

58 Top Performing NASDAQ Months

60 Get More Out of NASDAQ's "Best Eight Months" with MACD Timing

62 Triple Returns, Fewer Trades: Best 6 + 4-Year Cycle

64 July Almanac

66 First Month of Quarters Is the Most Bullish

68 2019 Daily Dow Point Changes

70 Don't Sell Stocks on Monday or Friday

72 August Almanac

74 A Rally for All Seasons

76 Take Advantage of Down Friday/Down Monday Warning

78 Market Fares Better Under Democrats; Dollar Holds Up Better Under Republicans

80 Republican Congress and Democratic President Is Best for the Market

82 September Almanac

84 Market Gains More on Super-8 Days Each Month

Than on All 13 Remaining Days Combined

86 A Correction for All Seasons

88 First-Trading-Day-of-the-Month Phenomenon

90 October Almanac

92 Sector Seasonality: Selected Percentage Plays

94 Sector Index Seasonality Strategy Calendar

98 Market Behavior Three Days before and Three Days after Holidays

100 November Almanac

102 Fourth-Quarter Market Magic

104 Trading the Thanksgiving Market

106 Aura of the Triple Witch-4th Quarter Most Bullish: Down Weeks Trigger More Weakness Week After

108 December Almanac

110 Most of the So-Called January Effect Takes Place in the Last Half of December

112 January Effect Now Starts in Mid-December

114 Wall Street's Only "Free Lunch" Served before Christmas

116 If Santa Claus Should Fail to Call, Bears May Come to Broad and Wall

118 2022 Strategy Calendar

DIRECTORY OF TRADING PATTERNS & DATABANK

121 Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2021

122 Recent Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2021

123 S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2021

124 Recent S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2021

125 NASDAQ Composite Market Probability Calendar 2021

126 Recent NASDAQ Composite Market Probability Calendar 2021

127 Russell 1000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2021

128 Russell 2000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2021

129 Decennial Cycle: A Market Phenomenon

130 Presidential Election/Stock Market Cycle: The 187-Year Saga Continues

131 Dow Jones Industrials Bull and Bear Markets Since 1900

132 Standard & Poor's 500 Bull and Bear Markets Since 1929/NASDAQ Composite Since 1971

133 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: January and February

134 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: March and April

135 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: May and June

136 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: July and August

137 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: September and October

138 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: November and December

139 A Typical Day in the Market

140 Through the Week on a Half-Hourly Basis

141 Tuesday Most Profitable Day of Week

142 NASDAQ Strongest Last Three Days of Week

143 S&P Daily Performance Each Year Since 1952

144 NASDAQ Daily Performance Each Year Since 1971

145 Monthly Cash Inflows into S&P Stocks

146 Monthly Cash Inflows into NASDAQ Stocks

147 November, December and January: Year's Best Three-Month Span

148 November Through June: NASDAQ's Eight-Month Run

149 Dow Jones Industrials Annual Highs, Lows and Closes Since 1901

150 Standard & Poor's 500 Annual Highs, Lows and Closes Since 1930

151 NASDAQ, Russell 1000 and 2000 Annual Highs, Lows & Closes Since 1971

152 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950

153 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Point Changes Since 1950

154 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950

155 Standard & Poor's 500 Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950

157 Standard & Poor's 500 Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950

158 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Percent Changes Since 1971

159 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Closing Prices Since 1971

160 Russell 1000 Monthly Percent Changes and Closing Prices Since 1979

162 Russell 2000 Monthly Percent Changes and Closing Prices Since 1979

164 10 Best Days by Percent and Point

165 10 Worst Days by Percent and Point

166 10 Best Weeks by Percent and Point

167 10 Worst Weeks by Percent and Point

168 10 Best Months by Percent and Point

169 10 Worst Months by Percent and Point

170 10 Best Quarters by Percent and Point

171 10 Worst Quarters by Percent and Point

172 10 Best Years by Percent and Point

173 10 Worst Years by Percent and Point

STRATEGY PLANNING AND RECORD SECTION

175 Portfolio at Start of 2021

176 Additional Purchases

178 Short-Term Transactions

180 Long-Term Transactions

182 Interest/Dividends Received During 2021/Brokerage Account Data 2021

183 Weekly Portfolio Price Record 2021

185 Weekly Indicator Data 2021

187 Monthly Indicator Data 2021

188 Portfolio at End of 2021

189 If You Don't Profit from Your Investment Mistakes, Someone Else Will/Performance Record of ecommendations

190 Individual Retirement Account (IRA):Most Awesome Mass Investment Incentive Ever Devised 191 G. M. Loeb's "Battle Plan" for Investment Survival

192 G. M. Loeb's Investment Survival Checklist