Three Way Street

by Goldstein, Joshua S.; Freeman, John R.

• ISBN13: 9780226301594
• ISBN10: 0226301591
• Format: Paperback
• Copyright: 1990-11-01
• Publisher: Univ of Chicago Pr

Summary

How can the world's most powerful nations cooperate despite their conflicting interests? InThree-Way Street, Joshua S. Goldstein and John R. Freeman analyze the complex intersection defined by relations among the United States, the Soviet Union, and China over the past forty years. The authors demonstrate that three major schools of international relations theory--all game-theoretic, psychological, and quantitative-empirical approaches--have all advocated a strategy that employs cooperative initiatives and reciprocal responses in order to elicit cooperation from other countries. Critics have questioned whether such approaches can model how countries actually behave, but Goldstein and Freeman provide a wealth of detailed empirical evidence showing the existence and effectiveness of strategic reciprocity among the three countries between 1948 and 1989. Specifically, they establish that relations among the three countries have improved in recent decades through a "two steps forward, one step back" pattern. Their innovative and remarkably accessible synthesis of leading theoretical perspectives brilliantly illuminates the nature and workings of international cooperation.

Author Biography

Joshua S. Goldstein is associate professor of international relations at the University of Southern California. John R. Freeman is professor of political science at the University of Minnesota.

Table of Contents

List of Figures and Tables

Acknowledgments

Introduction: An Outline and Rationale

Theories of Cooperation Game-Theoretic Approaches Prisoner's Dilemma Games and the Tit-for-Tat Strategy Applications to International Relations Evaluation of Game-Theoretic Approaches Psychological Approaches Psychological Theory and GRIT Images and Expectations in International Relations Evaluation of Psychological Approaches Quantitative-Empirical Approaches Richardson's Model and Negative Grievances Quasi-Experimental Studies of International Politics Evaluation of Quantitative-Empirical Approaches Elements of Strategy Cooperation and Reciprocity Policy Inertia Triangular Strategy Toward a Better Understanding of Great Power Strategies

Sino-Soviet-American Relations, 1948-87 Measuring Cooperation and Hostility The Three Events Data Sets Criticisms of Events Data A Quantitative History of Relations U.S.-Soviet Relations U.S.-Chinese Relations Soviet-Chinese Relations Long-Term Trends in Sino-Soviet-American Relations

The Reality of Reciprocity Modeling Strategic Behavior Vector Autoregression Overview of the Data Analysis Results of Specification Analyses Patterns of Strategic Response Bilateral Responses Triangular Responses Policy Inertia Conclusion

Six Cooperative Initiatives Zhou's Bandung Initiative (April 1955) The Initiative The Course of Events Zhou's Trip to Eastern Europe (January 1957) The Initiative The Course of Events Johnson's Gestures of Goodwill (October 1966) The Initiative The Course of Events Nixon in China (February 1972) The Initiative The Course of Events Gorbachev's Testing Moratorium (July 1985) The Initiative The Course of Events Gorbachev's Vladivostok Speech (July 1986) The Initiative The Course of Events Some Lessons

Evaluating Cooperative Strategies Testing Alternative Strategies Results Theories of Cooperation Revisited Game-Theoretic Studies of Cooperation Psychological Studies of Cooperation Toward a Unified Theory of Cooperation

Toward Lasting Cooperation The Late 1980s Is Cooperation Evolving? The Next Step A Limited Reciprocity Regime Soviet "New Thinking" Toward Three-Way Cooperation

Data Listing

Technical Results

Notes

References

Index

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