List of Tables | p. viii |
List of Figures | p. ix |
Foreword | p. xiii |
Preface | p. xv |
Alternative Futures for a Changing Region | p. 1 |
The Upper San Pedro River Basin | p. 9 |
The Framework for Alternative Futures Studies | p. 13 |
The Organization of the Research | p. 18 |
Natural and Cultural History | p. 23 |
The Issues for Research | p. 32 |
The Scenarios for Change | p. 33 |
The Development Model | p. 40 |
The Hydrological Model | p. 60 |
The Vegetation Model | p. 73 |
The Landscape Ecological Pattern Model | p. 79 |
Single Species Potential Habitat Models | p. 84 |
Threatened and Endangered Species Potential Habitat | p. 111 |
The Vertebrate Species Richness and GAP Species Models | p. 116 |
The Visual Preference Model | p. 124 |
Summary of Impacts | p. 130 |
Testing the Alternative Futures | p. 134 |
Conclusions | p. 164 |
The Scenarios Guide | p. 171 |
The Computational Process | p. 185 |
References | p. 187 |
Acknowledgements | p. 193 |
About the Authors | p. 194 |
Index | p. 197 |
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