Preface | p. XV |
The Global Setting of American Foreign Policy | p. 1 |
Why the International System Matters | p. 1 |
The International System: Structural Constraints | p. 2 |
Decentralization | p. 2 |
Self-Help System | p. 3 |
A Stratified System | p. 3 |
The International System: Cold War Trends | p. 4 |
Diffusion of Power | p. 4 |
Issue Proliferation | p. 5 |
Actor Proliferation | p. 7 |
Regional Diversity | p. 8 |
The Contemporary International System: Dominant Features | p. 9 |
Globalization | p. 10 |
American Hegemony | p. 11 |
America and the World: Attitudes and Perceptions | p. 14 |
Summary and the Future | p. 16 |
Notes | p. 17 |
The Foreign Policy Agenda: Past, Present, and Future | p. 19 |
Foreign Policy Problems | p. 19 |
What Do Americans Want in Foreign Policy? | p. 20 |
Thinking About Foreign Policy Problems | p. 21 |
The National Interest | p. 23 |
Grand Strategy | p. 25 |
Presidential Foreign Policy Doctrines | p. 28 |
The Truman Doctrine | p. 28 |
The Nixon Doctrine | p. 29 |
The Carter Doctrine | p. 30 |
The Reagan Doctrine | p. 32 |
The Bush Doctrine | p. 34 |
Foreign Policy Doctrines Evaluated | p. 35 |
Terrorism as a Foreign Policy Problem | p. 39 |
Terrorism | p. 41 |
Combatting Terrorism | p. 44 |
Strategy | p. 48 |
Summary and the Future | p. 49 |
Notes | p. 53 |
The American National Style | p. 56 |
Isolationism versus Internationalism | p. 58 |
Sources of the American National Style | p. 60 |
Patterns | p. 62 |
Unilateralism | p. 62 |
Moral Pragmatism | p. 64 |
Legalism | p. 67 |
Consequences of the American National Style | p. 68 |
A Revival of Wilsonianism? | p. 71 |
Other Voices from the Past | p. 73 |
Summary and the Future | p. 74 |
Notes | p. 75 |
Learning from the Past | p. 77 |
How Do Policy Makers Learn from the Past? | p. 77 |
Events Policy Makers Learn from | p. 79 |
Types of Calculations Made about Those Events | p. 81 |
Lessons Learned | p. 82 |
Learning from the Past: Case Studies | p. 83 |
The Cold War | p. 83 |
The Vietnam War | p. 92 |
The Iraq War | p. 100 |
Summary and the Future | p. 110 |
Notes | p. 110 |
The Domestic Context of American Foreign Policy | p. 114 |
The Media and American Foreign Policy | p. 115 |
The New Media and American Foreign Policy | p. 118 |
The Media, Public Opinion, and War | p. 120 |
Public Opinion | p. 123 |
Trends and Content | p. 124 |
Public Opinion and the Use of Force | p. 126 |
Impact | p. 129 |
Elections | p. 130 |
Voter Knowledge and Issue Voting | p. 131 |
Party and Candidate Differences | p. 132 |
Impact | p. 133 |
Interest Groups | p. 134 |
Types of Interest Groups | p. 135 |
Impact | p. 144 |
Political Protest | p. 146 |
Policy-Maker Response | p. 147 |
An Example: The Public Use of Intelligence and the Iraq War | p. 148 |
Summary and the Future | p. 151 |
Notes | p. 152 |
The Constitution and Foreign Affairs | p. 156 |
Treaty-Making Powers | p. 157 |
Senatorial Advice and Consent | p. 157 |
Executive Agreements | p. 161 |
The Role of the House in the Panama Canal Treaties | p. 163 |
Appointment Powers | p. 164 |
War Powers | p. 167 |
War Powers Resolution | p. 168 |
Civil Liberties | p. 170 |
Commerce Powers | p. 173 |
Federalism and the States | p. 176 |
Summary and the Future | p. 179 |
Notes | p. 181 |
The Presidency | p. 184 |
When Does the President Matter? | p. 186 |
Presidential Personality | p. 187 |
Presidential Managerial Style | p. 190 |
Presidential Bureaucracy | p. 192 |
The National Security Council | p. 192 |
The War Czar | p. 196 |
Other White House Voices | p. 196 |
The Vice President | p. 196 |
The White House Chief of Staff | p. 197 |
Presidential Decision Making | p. 199 |
Presidential Transitions | p. 199 |
Summary and the Future | p. 201 |
Notes | p. 203 |
Congress and Foreign Policy | p. 205 |
Congressional Structure and Foreign Policy | p. 205 |
Blunt Foreign Policy Tools | p. 205 |
Decentralization | p. 216 |
Policy Entrepreneurship | p. 217 |
Staff Aides | p. 219 |
The Influence of Party and Region | p. 219 |
Outsourcing Foreign Policy | p. 220 |
Congress and the President | p. 224 |
Constants | p. 224 |
The Changing Relationship | p. 225 |
Summary and the Future | p. 227 |
Notes | p. 228 |
The Foreign Affairs Bureaucracy | p. 230 |
The State Department | p. 231 |
Structure and Growth | p. 231 |
The State Department's Value System | p. 233 |
Impact on Foreign Policy | p. 238 |
The Defense Department | p. 239 |
Structure and Growth | p. 239 |
The Defense Department's Value System | p. 241 |
Impact on Foreign Policy | p. 246 |
CIA and the Intelligence Community | p. 247 |
Structure and Growth | p. 247 |
The Intelligence Community's Value System | p. 252 |
Impact on Foreign Policy | p. 255 |
The Domestic Bureaucracies | p. 256 |
Treasury, Commerce, and Agriculture | p. 256 |
Homeland Security | p. 257 |
Policy Makers' Response | p. 259 |
Summary and the Future | p. 260 |
Notes | p. 262 |
Models of Policy Making: Overview | p. 265 |
The Rational Actor Model | p. 266 |
The Bureaucratic Politics Model | p. 267 |
The Small-Group Decision-Making Model | p. 269 |
Elite Theory and Pluralism | p. 273 |
Summary: Integrating Models and Additional Possibilities | p. 276 |
Notes | p. 278 |
Decision Making: Case Studies | p. 281 |
The Cuban Missile Crisis | p. 281 |
The Crisis: An Overview | p. 281 |
Three Views of the Cuban Missile Crisis | p. 284 |
Pre-9/11 Intelligence Policy on Terrorism | p. 287 |
The Intelligence Cycle | p. 287 |
Intelligence on Terrorism Before 9/11 | p. 288 |
Three Views of an Intelligence Failure | p. 293 |
Negotiating the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) | p. 295 |
The Bargaining Phase | p. 295 |
The Ratification Phase | p. 298 |
Summary | p. 300 |
Notes | p. 301 |
Diplomacy | p. 303 |
Selecting a Policy Instrument | p. 303 |
Bilateral Diplomacy | p. 305 |
Incentives Versus Sanctions | p. 307 |
Bilateralism Versus Multilateralism | p. 307 |
Summit Diplomacy | p. 308 |
East-West Superpower Summits | p. 309 |
Economic Summits | p. 310 |
Conference Diplomacy | p. 311 |
GATT and WTO | p. 311 |
Environmental Conferences | p. 315 |
UN Diplomacy | p. 317 |
Public Diplomacy | p. 318 |
The Political Use of Force | p. 320 |
Post-Cold War Coercive Diplomacy | p. 320 |
Nuclear Diplomacy | p. 321 |
Arms Transfers | p. 322 |
Summary and the Future | p. 326 |
Notes | p. 328 |
Covert Action | p. 330 |
Techniques of Covert Action | p. 331 |
Post-Cold War Covert Action | p. 339 |
The Covert War Against Osama bin Laden | p. 339 |
Renditions | p. 340 |
Controlling Covert Action | p. 341 |
Era of Trust | p. 342 |
Era of Skepticism | p. 344 |
Era of Uneasy Partnership | p. 346 |
Congress as Impatient Overseer | p. 348 |
Summary and the Future | p. 349 |
Notes | p. 351 |
Economic Instruments | p. 354 |
Strategic Outlooks | p. 355 |
Trade Strategies | p. 355 |
Monetary Strategies | p. 360 |
Economic Sanctions | p. 361 |
Inventory of Options | p. 363 |
Case Studies | p. 366 |
Rules of Economic Conflict | p. 367 |
Smart Sanctions | p. 368 |
Foreign Aid | p. 369 |
Types of Foreign Aid | p. 371 |
Cold War Foreign Aid | p. 373 |
Post-Cold War Foreign Aid | p. 374 |
Post-9/11 Foreign Aid | p. 375 |
Summary and the Future | p. 378 |
Notes | p. 380 |
Military Power | p. 381 |
Development of U.S. and Soviet Nuclear Arsenals | p. 382 |
What Does It All Mean? | p. 384 |
A Historical Survey of U.S. Nuclear Strategy | p. 387 |
Post-Cold War Nuclear Strategy | p. 391 |
The U.S. Strategic Nuclear Arsenal | p. 391 |
U.S. Nuclear Strategy | p. 392 |
Bridging the Nuclear-Conventional Divide | p. 394 |
Deterrence | p. 394 |
Preemption | p. 396 |
Asymmetric Conflicts | p. 397 |
Strategies for the Use of Conventional Military Force | p. 397 |
War Fighting | p. 399 |
Humanitarian/Peacekeeping Operations | p. 401 |
Terrorism/Counterinsurgency Conflicts | p. 403 |
Summary and the Future | p. 404 |
Notes | p. 406 |
Arms Control and Missile Defense | p. 408 |
Judging Success and Failure | p. 408 |
Superpower Arms Control and Disarmament | p. 409 |
1946 to 1957 | p. 410 |
1958 to 1972 | p. 411 |
1973 to 1988 | p. 412 |
1989 to 2001 | p. 414 |
2001 to Present | p. 416 |
Defense | p. 418 |
The Strategic Defense Initiative | p. 418 |
Missile Defense Systems | p. 419 |
Counterproliferation | p. 421 |
The Post-Cold War Agenda | p. 422 |
Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction | p. 422 |
Proliferation of Conventional Weapons | p. 424 |
Combining Approaches | p. 425 |
Summary and the Future | p. 426 |
Notes | p. 428 |
Alternative Futures | p. 430 |
Choices | p. 430 |
Alternative Futures | p. 432 |
The United States as an Ordinary State | p. 432 |
Reformed America | p. 433 |
The United States as a Global Manager | p. 435 |
Pragmatic America | p. 436 |
Neocontainment | p. 438 |
Triumphant America | p. 439 |
American Crusader | p. 440 |
America the Balancer | p. 442 |
Disengaged America | p. 443 |
The Future | p. 445 |
Notes | p. 445 |
Index | p. 448 |
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