Name: The Poverty of Historicism
Price: $21.93 USD
Availability: InStock
Author: Popper,Karl
ISBN: 9780415278461

Hailed on publication in 1957 as "probably the only book published this year that will outlive the century," this is a brilliant of the idea that there are fixed laws in history and that human beings are able to predict them.

Historical Note
Preface
Introduction	p. 1
The Anti-Naturalistic Doctrines of Historicism	p. 4
Generalization	p. 5
Experiment	p. 7
Novelty	p. 8
Complexity	p. 10
Inexactitude of Prediction	p. 11
Objectivity and Valuation	p. 12
Holism	p. 15
Intuitive Understanding	p. 17
Quantitative Methods	p. 21
Essentialism versus Nominalism	p. 23
The Pro-Naturalistic Doctrines of Historicism	p. 31
Comparison with Astronomy. Long-Term Forecasts and Large-Scale Forecasts	p. 32
The Observational Basis	p. 34
Social Dynamics	p. 35
Historical Laws	p. 36
Historical Prophecy versus Social Engineering	p. 37
The Theory of Historical Development	p. 40
Interpreting versus Planning Social Change	p. 44
Conclusion of the Analysis	p. 46
Criticism of the Anti-Naturalistic Doctrines	p. 50
Practical Aims of this Criticism	p. 50
The Technological Approach to Sociology	p. 53
Piecemeal versus Utopian Engineering	p. 58
The Unholy Alliance with Utopianism	p. 65
Criticism of Holism	p. 70
The Holistic Theory of Social Experiments	p. 76
The Variability of Experimental Conditions	p. 85
Are Generalizations Confined to Periods?	p. 89
Criticism of the Pro-Naturalistic Doctrines	p. 96
Is there a Law of Evolution? Laws and Trends	p. 96
The Method of Reduction. Causal Explanation. Prediction and Prophecy	p. 110
The Unity of Method	p. 120
Theoretical and Historical Sciences	p. 132
Situational Logic in History. Historical Interpretation	p. 136
The Institutional Theory of Progress	p. 141
Conclusion: The Emotional Appeal of Historicism	p. 148
Index	p. 150
Table of Contents provided by Blackwell. All Rights Reserved.

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