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Preface | |
Introduction | |
Part I. Overview Paper: 1. Descriptive, normative, and prescriptive interactions in decision making David E. Bell, Howard Raiffa, and Amos Tversky | |
Part II. Conceptions of Choice: 2. Bounded rationality, ambiguity, and the engineering of choice James G. March | |
3. Rationality as process and as product of thought Herbert A. Simon | |
4. Normative theories of decision making under risk and under uncertainty P. C. Fishburn | |
5. Risky choice revisited David E. Bell, and Howard Raiffa | |
6. Behavioral decision theory: processes of judgment and choice Hillel J. Einhorn, and Robin M. Hogarth | |
7. Reply to commentaries Hillel J. Einhorn, and Robin M. Hogarth | |
8. Response mode, framing, and information-processing effects in risk assessment Paul Slovic, Baruch Fischhoff, and Sarah Lichetenstein | |
9. Rational choice and the framing of decisions Amos Tversky, and Daniel Kahneman | |
10. Savage revisited Glenn Shafer | |
Part III. Beliefs and Judgments about Uncertainties: 11. Languages and decisions for probability judgment Glenn Shafer, and Amos Tversky | |
12. Updating subjective probability Persi Diaconis, and Sandy L. Zabell | |
13. Probability, evidence, and judgment A. P. Dempster | |
14. The effects of statistical training on thinking about everyday problems Geoffrey T. Fong, David H. Krantz, and Richard E. Nisbett | |
Part IV. Values and Utilities: 15. The mind as a consuming organ T. C. Schelling | |
16. Disappointment in decision making under uncertainty David E. Bell | |
17. Marginal value and intrinsic risk aversion David E. Bell, and Howard Raiffa | |
18. Knowing what you want: measuring labile values Baruch Fischhoff, Paul Slovic, and Sarah Lichetenstein | |
19. Sources of bias in assessment procedures for utility functions John C. Hershey, Howard C. Kunreuther, and Paul J. H. Schoemaker | |
20. Simplicity in decision analysis: an example and a discussion Ward Edwards, Detlof von Winterfeldt, and David L. Moody | |
21. Value-focused thinking and the study of values Ralph L. Keeney | |
Part V. Areas of Application: 22. Behaviour under uncertainty and its implications for policy Kenneth J. Arrow | |
23. The relevance of quasi rationality in competitive markets Thomas Russell, and Richard Thaler | |
24. How senior managers think Daniel J. Isenberg | |
25. Problems in producing usable knowledge for implementing liberating alternatives Chris Argyris | |
26. On the framing of medical decisions Barbara J. McNeil, Stephen G. Pauker, and Amos Tversky | |
27. Whether or not to administer amphotericin to an immunosuppressed patient with hematologic malignancy and undiagnosed fever Jonathan E. Gottlieb, and Stephen G. Pauker | |
28. The effect of private attitudes on public policy: prenatal screening for neural tube defects as a prototype Stephen G. Pauker, Susan P. Pauker, and Barbar J. McNeil | |
29. Discussion agenda for the session on medical decision making and minutes of a group discussion clinical decision making Milton C. Weinstein, (moderator), and Harvey V. Fineberg, Barbara J. McNeil, and Stephen G. Pauker (discussion rapporteur Robert J. Quinn). |
The New copy of this book will include any supplemental materials advertised. Please check the title of the book to determine if it should include any access cards, study guides, lab manuals, CDs, etc.
The Used, Rental and eBook copies of this book are not guaranteed to include any supplemental materials. Typically, only the book itself is included. This is true even if the title states it includes any access cards, study guides, lab manuals, CDs, etc.