Global Warming and Agriculture

by Cline, William R.

• ISBN13: 9780881324037
• ISBN10: 0881324035
• Format: Paperback
• Copyright: 2007-06-30
• Publisher: Peterson Inst for Intl Economics

Summary

In this detailed study, Cline asserts that developing countries have more at risk than industrial countries as global warming worsens. Using general circulation and agricultural impact models, Cline boldly examines the years 2070-2099 to forecast the effects of global warming and its economic impact.

Table of Contents

Introduction and overview	p. 1
Brief survey of existing literature	p. 7
Key issues : carbon fertilization, irrigation, and trade	p. 23
Country-level climate projections	p. 35
Country-level agricultural impact estimates	p. 43
Dynamic considerations	p. 87
Conclusion	p. 95
Standardizing global grids of climate change data	p. 101
Mapping grid cells to countries	p. 105
Calculating the geographical area of the grid cell	p. 109
Definitions of countries, regions, and subzones	p. 111
Estimating farm area and agricultural output by country, region, and subzone	p. 115
Country-level results with the Mendelsohn-Schlesinger functions	p. 123
Ricardian models for India, Africa, and Latin America	p. 137
Monthly climate data, 1961-90 and 2070-99	p. 141
Dispersion of climate projections across general circulation models	p. 163
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