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Preface | p. xi |
Acknowledgments | p. xxi |
The Polarized Public | p. 1 |
The Debate: Elite versus Mass Polarization | p. 5 |
Evidence for Mass Polarization: The Case of Health Care Reform | p. 9 |
Constraint and Polarization | p. 12 |
Explaining the Rise of Mass Polarization | p. 13 |
The Racial Divide | p. 18 |
The Racial Divide in 2008 | p. 21 |
The Racial Transformation of the American Party System | p. 24 |
The Rise of the Nonwhite Electorate | p. 26 |
Race and the Rise of Polarization | p. 29 |
The Racial Divide and Ideological Polarization | p. 33 |
Chapter Summary | p. 35 |
The Ideological Divide | p. 36 |
Ideological Realignment and the Demise of the New Deal Party System | p. 37 |
The Rise of Ideological Polarization | p. 42 |
Sorting versus Polarization | p. 45 |
Issue Constraint and Polarization | p. 50 |
Political Engagement, Constraint, and Polarization: Evidence from 2010 | p. 54 |
Polarized Positions or Polarized Choices? | p. 56 |
Chapter Summary | p. 60 |
The Cultural Divide | p. 62 |
Explaining the Religious Divide: The Rise of Abortion as a Political Issue | p. 68 |
Cultural Issues in 2008: Abortion and Gay Rights | p. 74 |
Growing Consistency between Cultural and Economic Issues | p. 77 |
Cultural Issues, Economic Issues, and Party Identification | p. 80 |
Chapter Summary | p. 82 |
The Geographic Divide | p. 83 |
Explaining the Red-Blue Divide | p. 87 |
The Red-Blue Divide and Presidential Elections | p. 90 |
The Growing Red-Blue Divide in the Senate | p. 92 |
The Growing Red-Blue Divide in the House of Representatives | p. 95 |
Chapter Summary | p. 100 |
The Polarized Public and the Rise of the Tea Party Movement | p. 101 |
Brewing the Tea: The Growth of the Conservative Republican Base, 1972-2008 | p. 104 |
Drinking the Tea: Analyzing Public Support for the Tea Party Movement in 2010 | p. 110 |
Explaining Tea Party Support: A Multivariate Analysis | p. 116 |
Tea Party Support and Political Activism | p. 118 |
Chapter Summary | p. 119 |
Polarization Continues: The 2012 Elections and Beyond | p. 122 |
The Outlook for 2012: The Republican Presidential Nomination | p. 125 |
The Outlook for 2012: The Presidential Election | p. 129 |
The Outlook for 2012: The House of Representatives | p. 135 |
The Outlook for 2012: The Senate | p. 138 |
Beyond 2012: Governing in an Age of Polarization | p. 141 |
Index | p. 145 |
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