Probability Is the Very Guide of Life : The Philosophical Uses of Chance

by Kyburg, Henry E., Jr.; Thalos, Mariam; Kyburg, Henry E., Jr.; Thalos, Mariam

• ISBN13: 9780812695120
• ISBN10: 0812695127
• Format: Hardcover
• Copyright: 2003-01-01
• Publisher: Pgw

Table of Contents

Acknowledgments	p. vii
Introduction: The Philosophical Uses of Probability	p. ix
Probability, Frequency, and Inference
Reichenbach, Reference Classes, and Single-Case 'Probabilities'	p. 3
Direct Inference and the Problem of Induction	p. 33
Objective Modality and Direct Inference	p. 61
Severe Testing as a Guide for Inductive Learning	p. 89
Bayesian Meets Frequentist: A Marriage Made in California	p. 119
Probability as a Guide in Life	p. 135
Probability and Decision
A Dilemma for Objective Chance	p. 153
Simpson's Paradox: A Logically Benign, Empirically Treacherous Hydra	p. 165
Conditional Probability Is the Very Guide of Life	p. 183
Causal Generalizations and Good Advice	p. 205
Probability and Causation
Instrumental Probability	p. 235
What Is Wrong with Bayes Nets?	p. 253
Don't Take Unnecessary Chances!	p. 277
The Reduction of Causation	p. 295
Wider Applications of Probability
Is It a Crime to Belong to a Reference Class?	p. 331
Explaining Things Probabilistically	p. 349
Index	p. 358
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