Russia 2025 Scenarios for the Russian Future

by Lipman, Maria; Petrov, Nikolay

• ISBN13: 9781137336903
• ISBN10: 1137336900
• Format: Hardcover
• Copyright: 2013-11-14
• Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan

Summary

In early 2010 Russia once again entered a turbulent period. From the system of property distribution, to structure of the political elites and relations between the Center and the regions – various spheres of Russian life are in a state of flux. Two major factors are driving this change: oil prices which are unlikely to grow the way they did in the 2000s and the rapidly deteriorating efficiency of governance. Relations between federal and regional elites, as well as public activism, are derived from these two factors and play an important role of their own. Will change take an evolutionary path or is Russia facing another revolution? The book offers a view of the Russian future until 2025 based on thematic scenarios created by an international team of Russia scholars whose expertise range from politics and economics to demographics and foreign policy.

Author Biography

Maria Lipman is the Editor-in-chief of Pro et Contra, a policy journal published by the Carnegie Moscow Center. She has published a number of articles on the Russian media, politics and society and co-edited volumes including The Convolutions of Historical Politics (2012).

Nikolai Petrov is Professor at Higher School of Economics, Moscow. He was previously a Director of the Society and Regions project at the Carnegie Moscow Center. He has been the author or editor of numerous publications dealing with analysis of Russia's political regime, post-Soviet transformation, socioeconomic and political development, including The Political Almanac of Russia (1999)

Table of Contents

Introduction; Maria Lipman and Nikolay Petrov
1. Forty Years in the Desert: The Political Cycles of Post-Soviet Transition; Kirill Rogov
2. After Bolotnaia: Defining a 'New Normal' in Russian Public Politics; Samuel A. Greene
3. Four Russias: Human Potential and Social Differentiation of Russian Regions and Cities; Natalia Zubarevich
4. Russia's Population until 2025; Mikhail Denisenko
5. Government Interference: An Institutional Trap; Boris Grozovsky
6. Russian Regime Dynamics through 2025: Comparative Thinking about the Future; Henry E. Hale
7. Regime Changes in Russia: Trajectories of Political Evolution; Vladimir Gel'man
8. Frameworks of Political System Development; Boris Makarenko
9. From a Federation of Corporations to a Federation of Regions; Nikolay Petrov
10. Becoming Modern Russian Style; Richard Sakwa
11. The Kremlin Turns Ideological: Where this New Direction Could Lead; Maria Lipman
12. The World After Democracy Won; Fedor Lukyanov
13. Russia and the World: The Path to 2025; Fedor Lukyanov
Conclusion- The Stalinization of Putinism: A Doomed Effort; Maria Lipman and Nikolay Petrov