Study Guide to accompany Fundamental Analysis

by Schwager, Jack D.; Turner, Steven C.

• ISBN13: 9780471132011
• ISBN10: 0471132012
• Edition: 1st
• Format: Paperback
• Copyright: 1996-05-10
• Publisher: Wiley

Summary

Written by a foremost authority and one of the bestselling authors in finance. The most comprehensive book on futures trading, A Complete Guide to the Futures Markets, is now divided into three volumes--this is the first. It provides readers with a synthesis of market analysis as well as practical trading considerations. Analytical techniques are evaluated within the context of the existing world of trade.

Author Biography

Jack D. Schwager is Director of Futures Research and Trading at Prudential Securities. He formerly held similar positions at Paine Webber and Smith Barney, with a total of twenty-two years' experience heading up futures research departments. He is also a Commodity Trading Advisor and one of the coprincipals of Wizard Trading.

Mr. Schwager is the author of the highly regarded A Complete Guide to the Futures Markets, and the Schwager on Futures series that includes the titles Fundamental Analysis and Technical Analysis, all published by Wiley. His writing has appeared in many publications, including the Handbook of Futures Markets, The New York Times, and Forbes. Much in demand as a speaker, he has lectured on a range of analytical topics, with a particular focus on great traders, technical analysis, and trading system evaluation.

Table of Contents

PART ONE Questions & Problems	1	(124)
The Great Fundamental versus Technical Analysis Debate	3	(3)
For Beginners Only	6	(5)
Fourteen Popular Fallacies, or What Not to Do Wrong	11	(3)
Supply/Demand Analysis: Basic Economic Theory	14	(4)
Types of Fundamental Analysis	18	(3)
Applying Technical Analysis to Fundamental Data	21	(4)
The Role of Expectations	25	(3)
Incorporating Inflation	28	(3)
Seasonal Analysis	31	(3)
Market-by-Market Seasonality	34	(4)
Analyzing Market Response	38	(4)
Government programs and International Agreements	42	(4)
Building a Forecasting Model: A Step-by-Step Approach	46	(3)
Fundamental Analysis and Trading	49	(3)
Introduction to Regression Analysis	52	(3)
A Review of Elementary Statistics	55	(5)
Checking the Significance of the Regression Equation	60	(4)
The Multiple Regression Model	64	(3)
Analyzing the Regression Equation	67	(4)
Practical Considerations in Applying Regression Analysis	71	(3)
Forecasting Hog Prices	74	(4)
Forecasting Cattle Prices	78	(4)
Forecasting Grain Prices	82	(4)
Forecasting Soybean Prices	86	(4)
Forecasting Sugar Prices	90	(4)
Forecasting Coffee Prices	94	(4)
Forecasting Crude Oil Prices	98	(4)
Forecasting Copper Prices	102	(3)
Forecasting Gold (Precious Metal) Prices	105	(3)
Forecasting Currency Rates	108	(4)
Forecasting Interest Rates	112	(4)
Forecasting Foreign Interest Rate Markets	116	(4)
Forecasting the Stock Market	120	(5)
PART TWO Answers & Solutions	125	(62)
The Great Fundamental versus Technical Analysis Debate	127	(1)
For Beginners Only	128	(3)
Fourteen Popular Fallacies, or What Not to Do Wrong	131	(1)
Supply/Demand Analysis: Basic Economic Theory	132	(2)
Types of Fundamental Analysis	134	(1)
Applying Technical Analysis to Fundamental Data	135	(3)
The Role of Expectations	138	(1)
Incorporating Inflation	139	(1)
Seasonal Analysis	140	(3)
Market-by-Market Seasonality	143	(2)
Analyzing Market Response	145	(2)
Government Programs and International Agreements	147	(2)
Building a Forecasting Model: A Step-by-Step Approach	149	(1)
Fundamental Analysis and Trading	150	(2)
Introduction to Regression Analysis	152	(2)
A Review of Elementary Statistics	154	(2)
Checking the Significance of the Regression Equation	156	(2)
The Multiple Regression Model	158	(2)
Analyzing the Regression Equation	160	(2)
Practical Considerations in Applying Regression Analysis	162	(1)
Forecasting Hog Prices	163	(2)
Forecasting Cattle Prices	165	(2)
Forecasting Grain Prices	167	(2)
Forecasting Soybean Prices	169	(2)
Forecasting Sugar Prices	171	(2)
Forecasting Coffee Prices	173	(2)
Forecasting Crude Oil Prices	175	(2)
Forecasting Copper Prices	177	(1)
Forecasting Gold (Precious Metal) Prices	178	(1)
Forecasting Currency Rates	179	(2)
Forecasting Interest Rates	181	(2)
Forecasting Foreign Interest Rate Markets	183	(2)
Forecasting the Stock Market	185	(2)
About the Authors	187