What is included with this book?
David J. Berri is associate professor of economics at Southern Utah University. He has written extensively on sports economics for academic journals, newspapers, and magazines, including The New York Times.
Martin B. Schmidt, professor of economics at the College of William and Mary, specializes in sports economics and macroeconomics. His writing has appeared in the field’s leading academic and general interest journals, including The New York Times.
Berri and Schmidt coauthored The Wages of Wins and maintain a popular blog, The Wages of Wins Journal, which discusses the economics of sports decision-making (dberri.wordpress.com).
Acknowledgments . . . xi
About the Authors . . . xiii
Preface . . . xv
Chapter 1: Maybe the Fans Are Right . . . 1
Sporting Rationality. . . 3
Crunchers, “Experts,” and the Wrath of Randomness . . . 5
A Century of Mistakes in Baseball . . . 7
Chapter 2: Defending Isiah . . . 13
Isiah Thomas Illustrates How Money Can’t Buy You Love . . . 14
Getting Paid in the NBA. . . 20
Coaching Contradictions. . . 23
Isiah’s Defense. . . 28
Chapter 3: The Search for Useful Stats . . . 33
Identifying the Most “Useful” Numbers . . . 33
The Most Important Position in Team Sports? . . . 39
Assigning Wins and Losses . . . 47
Chapter 4: Football in Black and White . . . 49
A Brief History of the Black Quarterback . . . 50
Performance in Black and White . . . 55
Quarterback Pay in Black and White . . . 63
Chapter 5: Finding the Face of the Franchise . . . 67
Birth of the Draft . . . 68
The Problem with Picking First . . . 69
How to Get Picked First? . . . 78
Back to Kostka. . . . 80
Chapter 6: The Pareto Principle and Drafting Mistakes . . . 83
The Pareto Principle and Losing to Win . . . 83
The NBA Draft and NBA Performance. . . 93
Catching a Baseball Draft . . . 100
Chapter 7: Inefficient on the Field . . . 103
Just Go For It! . . . 106
Evaluating the Little Man in Football . . . 113
The Hot Hand and Coaching Contradictions . . . 115
Chapter 8: Is It the Teacher or the Students? . . . 119
The Wealth of Coaching . . . 120
“Take Your’n and Beat His’n” . . . 122
Deck Chairs? . . . 125
Growing Older and Diminishing Returns . . . 126
Putting the Picture Together . . . 132
Chapter 9: Painting a Bigger Picture . . . 135
Appendix A: Measuring Wins Produced in the NBA . . . 141
A Very Brief Introduction to Regression Analysis . . . 141
Modeling Wins in the NBA . . . 143
Calculating Wins Produced in the NBA. . . 148
Win Score and PAWS48 . . . 154
A Comment on Alternatives . . . 156
Three Objections to Wins Produced for the NBA . . . 158
Appendix B: Measuring Wins Produced in the NFL . . . 161
Endnotes . . . 173
Chapter 1 . . . 173
Chapter 2 . . . 176
Chapter 3 . . . 181
Chapter 4 . . . 186
Chapter 5 . . . 189
Chapter 6 . . . 194
Chapter 7 . . . 198
Chapter 8 . . . 202
Chapter 9 . . . 207
References . . . 209
Books and Articles . . . 209
Web Sites . . . 222
Index . . . 225
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