Thinking Psychological Perspectives on Reasoning, Judgment and Decision Making

by Hardman, David; Macchi, Laura

• ISBN13: 9780470025727
• ISBN10: 0470025727
• Edition: 1st
• Format: Paperback
• Copyright: 2010-03-08
• Publisher: Wiley

Summary

The first international handbook to bring the areas of reasoning, judgment and decision making together, now in paperback format. The book brings three of the important topics of thinking together - reasoning, judgment and decision making '¬" and discusses key issues in each area. The studies described range from those that are purely laboratory based to those that involve experts making real world judgments, in areas such as medical and legal decision making and political and economic forecasting. International collection of original chapters by leading researchers in the field Several chapters contain important new theoretical perspectives Paperback version is more affordable for individual researchers

Author Biography

Edited by Dr David Hardman, London Metropolitan University, UK and Professor Laura Macchi, University of Milan-Bicocca, Italy.

Table of Contents

List of Contributors

Introduction

Reasoning

A Theory of Hypothetical Thinking

Individual Differences in the Development of Reasoning Strategies

Generalising Individual Differences and Strategies Across Different Deductive Reasoning Domains

Superordinate Principles, Conditions and Conditionals

Premise Interpretation in Conditional Reasoning

Probabilities and Pragmatics in Conditional Inference: Suppression and Order Effects

Judgment

Verbal Expressions of Uncertainty and Probability

Possibilities and Probabilities

The Partitive Conditional Probability

Naive and yet Enlightened: From Natural Frequencies to Fast and Frugal Decision Trees

More is not Always Better: The Benefits of Cognitive Limits

Correspondence and Coherence: Indicators of Good Judgment in World Politics

Decision Making

Cognitive Mapping of Causal Reasoning in Strategic Decision Making

Belief and Preference in Decision Under Uncertainty

Medical Decision Scripts: Combining Cognitive Scripts and Judgment Strategies to Account Fully for Medical Decision Making

On the Assessment of Decision Quality: Considerations Regarding Utility, Conflict and Accountability

Author Index

Subject Index

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