9780833038128

War Escalation in South Asia

by
  • ISBN13:

    9780833038128

  • ISBN10:

    0833038125

  • Format: Paperback
  • Copyright: 2006-03-30
  • Publisher: Natl Book Network

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Summary

The advent of two nuclear powers in South Asia, discoveries of nuclear trafficking, and insurgencies and terrorism that threaten important U.S. interests and objectives directly have transformed the region from a strategic backwater into a primary theater of concern for the United States. To a great extent free of the restrictions of earlier sanction regimes and attentive to the region's central role in the global war on terrorism (GWOT), the United States has engaged the states of South Asia aggressively with a wide variety of policy initiatives. Despite the diversity of policy instruments, few are very powerful; indeed, only the U.S. military seems to offer many options for Washington to intensify further its security cooperation and influence in the region.

Table of Contents

Preface iii
Figures ix
Tables xi
Summary xiii
Acknowledgments xvii
Acronyms xix
CHAPTER ONE Introduction 1(8)
U.S. Interests and Objectives
2(4)
Democracy and Economic Freedom in the Muslim World
2(1)
A Stable and Democratic Afghanistan
3(1)
Reduction of Tensions Between India and Pakistan
3(1)
Specific Objectives for Regional Stability
4(1)
Weapons of Mass Destruction
4(1)
Counterterrorism Policy Toward South Asia
5(1)
Key Questions Motivating the Project's Research
6(1)
Research Approach
7(1)
Organization of This Monograph
8(1)
CHAPTER TWO U.S. Security Cooperation in South Asia 9(10)
U.S. Foreign Direct Investment and Assistance Programs in South Asia
9(10)
U.S. Foreign Direct Investment
10(1)
Economic Assistance Loans and Grants
11(1)
Trade
12(1)
Military Assistance
12(2)
Historical Involvement in the Region
14(2)
U.S. Military Security Cooperation Today
16(3)
CHAPTER THREE Regional Sources of Conflict 19(34)
Ongoing Violence
19(10)
Kashmir
20(1)
Bangladesh
21(2)
Water
23(1)
Civil Wars and Insurgencies
24(1)
Tribal and Clan Influences
24(5)
Regional Military Balance
29(17)
Conventional Forces
30(6)
Conventional Force Capabilities and Trends
36(3)
Doctrinal Shifts—Limited War and Cold Start
39(2)
Chemical and Biological Warfare Capabilities
41(1)
Nuclear Forces
42(4)
Nuclear Proliferation
46(1)
Latent Conflict Potential Between India and China
47(6)
CHAPTER FOUR Extraregional Sources of Trouble 53(8)
Disagreement on Energy Distribution and Pipeline Routes
53(2)
Terrorists and International Organized Crime
55(3)
War Diffusion and Political Instability
58(1)
Unwelcome Cooperation Among States
58(3)
CHAPTER FIVE Illustrative Pathways to Conflict 61(10)
New Regime in Islamabad
61(3)
Consequences of a New Regime in Islamabad
62(1)
Implications for the United States
63(1)
Pakistan-Based Illegal Armed Bands Operate in Xinjiang
64(2)
Consequences of Pakistan-Based Illegal Armed Bands in Xinjiang
65(1)
Implications for the United States
66(1)
State-Sponsored Nuclear Trafficking Discovered
66(3)
Consequences of State-Sponsored Nuclear Trafficking
67(1)
Implications for the United States
68(1)
War Between the United States and Iran
69(2)
Consequences of War Between the United States and Iran
70(1)
Implications for the United States
70(1)
CHAPTER SIX Impact on U.S. Goals and Objectives 71(18)
Prospects for Defending and Advancing U.S. Interests and Objectives
71(2)
The Current Palette of Policy Options
71(2)
Six Key Questions
73(10)
Question One
74(1)
Question Two
74(3)
Question Three
77(1)
Question Four
78(2)
Question Five
80(1)
Question Six
81(2)
South Asia's New Role in U.S. Strategic Calculus
83(3)
Consider South Asia's Challenges as Major Transformation Drivers
83(1)
Modify the Unified Command Plan
84(1)
Fund Intensified U.S. Security Cooperation in South Asia
84(1)
Reconsider Contingency Plans for South Asia
84(1)
Intensify Intelligence Production on the Region
85(1)
Review Special Operations Forces Requirements for the Region
85(1)
Further Develop Power Projection Capabilities into the Region
85(1)
Implications for the Air Force
86(3)
Bibliography 89

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