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9781587981241

Analyzing Modern Business Cycles : Essays Honoring Geoffrey H. Moore

by ;
  • ISBN13:

    9781587981241

  • ISBN10:

    1587981246

  • Format: Paperback
  • Copyright: 2002-07-01
  • Publisher: Lightning Source Inc

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Summary

A Reprint of 1990 book collecting essays from various economists influenced by Moore's analysis of business cycles.

Table of Contents

Charts ix
Tables
xiii
Forewords
Solomon Fabricant xvii
Gottfried Haberler xxi
Acknowledgments xxiii
I. Introduction
Geoffrey H. Moore and His Impact on Modern Business Cycle Research
3(6)
Philip A. Klein
Plan of the Book
9(16)
Philip A. Klein
II. Analyzing Business Cycles Today
Understanding Business Cycles Today: A Critical Review of Theory and Fact
25(34)
Ernst A. Boehm
III. Current Assessment of Cyclical Indicators
Why Some of the Leading Indicators Lead
59(10)
Joel Popkin
Business Cycle Surveys: A New Quality in Economic Statistics
69(16)
Werner H. Strigel
The Leading Indicators and Monetary Aggregates
85(12)
Phillip Cagan
Cyclical Indicators in Econometric Models
97(12)
Lawrence R. Klein
IV. The Usefulness of Indicators in Economic Forecasting
Forecasting Turning Points in the Stock Market Cycle and Asset Allocation Implications
109(19)
Michael P. Niemira
The Future Lies Ahead
128(15)
Edgar R. Fiedler
The Accuracy of Macroeconomic Forecasts
143(34)
Stephen K. McNees
V. Cyclical Indicators and Their Applications: Current Methodological Issues
Major Macroeconomic Variables and Leading Indexes: Some Estimates of Their Interrelations
177(29)
Victor Zarnowitz
Phillip Braun
A Reassessment of Composite Indexes
206(20)
Charlotte Boschan
Anirvan Banerji
Long-Leading Index, 1919--1988
226(5)
Chantal Dubrin
Jean Maltz
VI. Recent Business Cycle Research: Implications for Theory and Policy
The Long-Run Efficacy of Efforts to Mitigate Downturns
231(7)
Alfred L. Malabre, Jr.
Diminished Unit Labor Cost Pressures: Importance for Methuselah Expansion
238(11)
John P. Cullity
The 1987 Stock Market Crash and the Wealth Effect
249(12)
Phillip Cagan
Entrepreneurial Confidence and Money Illusion
261(14)
Philip A. Klein
Cyclical Effects of International Transmission of Real and Monetary Disturbances
275(18)
Anna J. Schwartz
Michael D. Bordo
What's Natural About Unemployment?
293(10)
Philip A. Klein
Index 303(20)
About the Contributors 323

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