Aft and Force A Retrospective and Prosoective Analysis of Navy Officer Management

by Thie, Harry J.; Harrell, Margaret C.; Bracato, Kevin; Marquis, Jefferson P.; Graf, Clifford M.

• ISBN13: 9780833032706
• ISBN10: 0833032704
• Format: Paperback
• Copyright: 2003-04-23
• Publisher: RAND Corporation

Summary

Examines the Navy's requirements and inventory jof its officer corps by analyzing policy, mangement, trends, and cycles.

Table of Contents

Preface	iii
Figures	ix
Tables	xv
Summary	xvii
Acknowledgments	xxv
Abbreviations	xxvii
Introduction	1	(6)
Background	1	(1)
Research Objectives	1	(1)
Data Sources	2	(1)
Manpower Terminology Used in the Report	3	(1)
Organization of the Report	4	(3)
Laws, Policies, and Initiatives Relevant to Officer Management	7	(14)
Officer Personnel Management: Developing the Present Framework	8	(6)
Requirements for Officers: How Many? What Kind?	14	(5)
Summary	19	(2)
Officer Inventory and Requirements: Analysis of Historical Data	21	(36)
Naval Officers, 1801--2001	21	(5)
Size of the Naval Officer Corps and Officer / Enlisted Composition	21	(5)
Grade Structure of the Naval Officer Corps	26	(17)
Occupations	34	(7)
Experience	41	(2)
Other Benchmarks	43	(4)
``Tooth-to-Tail'' Issues and Patterns	47	(6)
Summary	53	(4)
Gap Analysis: Deltas, Differences, and Mismatches	57	(34)
Allocation of 1000 and 1050 Billets	57	(1)
Deltas Between Authorizations and Inventory	58	(31)
More Fluctuation Among the Most Junior Grades	58	(8)
Force Structure Changes Affect Gaps	66	(4)
External Constraints and Internal Behaviors Affect Gaps	70	(5)
Medical Doctors Are Not Sized Against the Force Structure or Constrained by DOPMA	75	(3)
Cohort Patterns Evident---but More Expensive---Among Navy Dentists	78	(3)
The Grade Structure of a Community Affects Gaps	81	(8)
Factors That Contribute to Manpower Gaps	89	(2)
Gap Analysis Costing	91	(20)
Dollar Costs of Manpower Gaps	94	(14)
Summary	108	(3)
Future Requirements and Inventory	111	(32)
The Weakness of Forecasting Efforts	112	(1)
Future Requirements Scenarios: An Analytical Exercise	113	(4)
A Look to the Future	114	(1)
Causes for Change in the Naval Officer Structure	115	(2)
The Navy Future Officer Force, 2010	117	(10)
Force Structure Changes	118	(1)
Organizational Structure Changes	119	(2)
Changes in Unrestricted Line Officer Manpower	121	(3)
Changes in Restricted Line Officer Manpower	124	(1)
Changes in Staff Corps Manpower	125	(1)
Changes in Limited Duty Officer Manpower	125	(1)
Changes in Chief Warrant Officer Manpower	126	(1)
2000--2010 Summary	126	(1)
The Navy Future Officer Force, 2017	127	(16)
Overall Impact	128	(2)
Force Structure Transformation	130	(1)
Organizational Structure Changes	131	(1)
Emerging Technologies	132	(1)
Changed Functional Requirements	132	(1)
Naval Warfare Integrators	133	(2)
Changes in Unrestricted Line Officer Manpower	135	(1)
Changes in Restricted Line Officer Manpower	136	(3)
Changes in Staff Corps Manpower	139	(1)
Changes in Limited Duty Officer and Chief Warrant Officer Manpower	140	(1)
2010--2017 Summary	140	(3)
Officer Management Implications of Future Manpower Requirements	143	(20)
Transition Versus Steady-State: Managing the Surface Warfare Community, 2010	143	(5)
Transitional Analysis	144	(2)
Steady-State Analysis	146	(2)
Managing the Surface Warfare Community, 2017	148	(2)
Managing the Submarine Community, 2010 and 2017	150	(2)
Managing the Aviation Community, 2010 and 2017	152	(1)
Managing the Intelligence Community, 2010 and 2017	153	(2)
Managing the Supply Community, 2010 and 2017	155	(2)
Comparison of Manpower Policy Changes	157	(4)
Summary	161	(2)
Conclusions and Recommendations	163	(6)
Conclusions	163	(3)
Recommendations	166	(3)
Appendix A Navy Officer Programmed Authorization Predictions by Community	169	(6)
Appendix B Navy Program of Record, Fiscal Years 2000--2010	175	(6)
Bibliography	181