Preface | p. iii |
Figures | p. xi |
Tables | p. xiii |
Summary | p. xv |
Acknowledgments | p. xix |
Abbreviations | p. xxiii |
Introduction | p. 1 |
Background | p. 1 |
The Dilemma of Intervention | p. 4 |
Purpose and Organization of This Monograph | p. 6 |
The Evolving Insurgency Challenge | p. 7 |
Introduction | p. 7 |
Defining Insurgency | p. 8 |
Categorizing Insurgencies | p. 12 |
Sources of Insurgency | p. 16 |
Insurgency and U.S. Security | p. 20 |
Conclusion | p. 25 |
The Challenge of Counterinsurgency: Lessons from the Cold War and After | p. 27 |
Introduction | p. 27 |
Four Principles | p. 32 |
Understand the Adversary | p. 32 |
Build State Capacity and Presence | p. 37 |
Control the Population | p. 41 |
Keep the Use of Force to a Minimum | p. 45 |
Conclusion | p. 50 |
Grand Strategy and Counterinsurgency | p. 53 |
Introduction | p. 53 |
Assessing Insurgent Threats to U.S. National Security | p. 54 |
When Do Insurgencies Threaten U.S. Security Interests? | p. 54 |
The Importance of Insurgency and Counterinsurgency in Future U.S. Grand Strategy | p. 57 |
Grand Strategies for Small Wars | p. 59 |
Differences Between Counterinsurgency and Conventional Military Requirements | p. 59 |
Differences Between Counterinsurgency and Conventional Military Strategy | p. 62 |
Coercion in Counterinsurgency | p. 64 |
Options for Counterinsurgency Intervention | p. 69 |
The Diversity of Counterinsurgency | p. 69 |
Ideal Types: Precautionary and Remedial Counterinsurgency | p. 70 |
Advantages and Limitations of Precautionary Counterinsurgency | p. 72 |
Investing in Counterinsurgency Capabilities | p. 74 |
Optimizing Military Capabilities for Counterinsurgency | p. 74 |
When, How, and Where Will the United States Intervene? | p. 76 |
The Roles of Allies in Counterinsurgency | p. 77 |
A New Framework for Understanding and Responding to Insurgencies | p. 81 |
The Application of Military Power to Counterinsurgency | p. 81 |
Security Cooperation and Foreign Internal Defense | p. 93 |
Some Caveats on Early Intervention | p. 100 |
The Power and Limitations of Military Assistance: The El Salvador Experience | p. 101 |
El Salvador: Lessons for Future Counterinsurgency Operations | p. 107 |
The USAF Role in Countering Insurgencies | p. 109 |
The Role of Air Power in Counterinsurgency Operations | p. 109 |
How Should We Think About the Role of Air Power in Counterinsurgency? | p. 112 |
Limiting Adversary Conventional Options | p. 113 |
Balancing Insurgent Advantages | p. 113 |
Gaining the Initiative | p. 114 |
Current USAF Operational Aviation Advising Activities | p. 115 |
6 SOS History | p. 115 |
Mission | p. 117 |
Typical Engagements | p. 118 |
Squadron Organization | p. 119 |
Manning and Training | p. 120 |
Trends in Operational Aviation Activity Since 9/11 | p. 121 |
Estimating Demand for Operational Aviation Advising | p. 126 |
Estimating the Personnel Required for Aviation Advising Missions | p. 130 |
Applying the Metric: Manpower Requirements for an Illustrative Precautionary Strategy | p. 131 |
Expanding and Deepening USAF Capabilities to Counter Insurgencies | p. 132 |
Make Counterinsurgency an Institutional Priority | p. 133 |
Create Organizations and Processes to Oversee USAF Counterinsurgency Efforts | p. 133 |
Develop and Nurture Counterinsurgency Expertise Throughout USAF | p. 135 |
Create a Wing-Level Organization for Aviation Advising | p. 136 |
Enhance USAF Combat Capabilities for Counterinsurgency | p. 146 |
Conclusions | p. 149 |
Final Thoughts | p. 150 |
Appendixes | |
States Afflicted by Insurgency | p. 153 |
Estimating Manpower Requirements for Advisory Assistance | p. 155 |
Bibliography | p. 159 |
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