Betting to Win A Professional Guide to Profitable Betting

by Williams, Professor Leighton Vaughan

• ISBN13: 9781843440154
• ISBN10: 1843440156
• Format: Paperback
• Copyright: 2003-11-01
• Publisher: High Stakes

Summary

Drawing on academic research, this book explains the various betting forums and techniques available to aid a professional betting strategy for all levels of punters. It covers the wide variety of fixed-odds markets across the world, but also spread betting, pari-mutuel, and Tote betting, and focuses also on the recent explosion of interest in person-to-person betting exchanges.

Table of Contents

Introduction	9	(2)
Part One: Betting With The Bookmaker	11	(50)
Chapter 1: Fair And Unfair Odds	13	(16)
What's Fair?	14	(1)
The Way To Bet With The Bookmaker	15	(2)
Each Way Bets	17	(1)
Is Each Way Betting Good Value?	18	(2)
What Are Fair Place Odds?	20	(2)
Multiple Bets	22	(2)
Forecast Bets	24	(1)
Choice	25	(1)
Asian Handicap Betting	26	(3)
Chapter 2: Betting On The Tote	29	(3)
The Way To Bet On The Tote	30	(2)
Chapter 3: Spread Betting	32	(12)
The Way To Bet On The Spreads	35	(1)
Risk Management In Simple Sports Spread Bets	36	(1)
Financial Spread Betting	37	(1)
Question	38	(1)
Risk Management	39	(1)
Guaranteed Stop Loss	39	(1)
Managing Risk By Closing The Bet	40	(1)
Options	41	(3)
Chapter 4: Betting On The 'Exchanges'	44	(5)
The Way To Bet On The Exchanges	44	(5)
Chapter 5: Bookmakers And The Exchanges	49	(12)
Comparing The Options	49	(8)
2.00 Cheltenham: Gerrard Supreme Novices' Hurdle	49	(3)
2.35 Cheltenham: Irish Independent Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase	52	(1)
3.15 Smurfit Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy	52	(2)
3.55 William Hill National Hunt Handicap Chase	54	(1)
4.30 FulkeWalwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Chase	55	(1)
5.05 Pertemps Final (Handicap Hurdle)	56	(1)
Punters Beware!	57	(4)
Part Two: Beating The Bookmakers	61	(82)
Chapter 1: Theory And Evidence	63	(7)
Chapter 2: How To Bet When The Odds Are In Your Favour	70	(2)
Chapter 3: Should You Follow The Market?	72	(4)
Chapter 4: Was The Steamer Value At The Off?	76	(3)
Chapter 5: The Right Shape	79	(2)
Chapter 6: The Gambler's Fallacy	81	(4)
Chapter 7: Do Multiple Bets Make Sense?	85	(3)
Chapter 8: The Real Lesson Of Dettori Day	88	(3)
Chapter 9: Draw Biases	91	(3)
Chapter 10: What Goes Up, Must Come Down!	94	(2)
Chapter 11: Betting In Running	96	(3)
Chapter 12: The Difference Between Risk And Uncertainty	99	(3)
Chapter 13: Strike While The Iron's Hot	102	(2)
Chapter 14: Prescribing The Right Dosage	104	(2)
Chapter 15: The Home Ground Factor	106	(3)
Chapter 16: The Patriot Bias	109	(2)
Chapter 17: Small Is Beautiful	111	(4)
Chapter 18: The Hi-Tech Crystal Ball	115	(2)
Chapter 19: Better Late Than Ever!	117	(2)
Chapter 20: The Value Of Tipping Agencies	119	(3)
Chapter 21: Betting On The Oscars	122	(4)
Chapter 22: Second Impressions Are Sometimes Better	126	(1)
Chapter 23: The Problem With Miss World	127	(3)
Chapter 24: Looking For Patterns	130	(2)
Chapter 25: The Motivation Thing	132	(3)
Chapter 26: Noise	135	(2)
Chapter 27: Betting On A Leadership Election	137	(2)
Chapter 28: You Can't Beat Reliability	139	(2)
Chapter 29: Cricket Betting	141	(2)
Part Three: Beating The Tote	143	(12)
Chapter 1: When Betting Longshots, Getting What You're Given Really Can Be The Best Option	145	(2)
Chapter 2: Steaming Into The Tote	147	(2)
Chapter 3: Betting On The US Tote	149	(2)
Chapter 4: US Horseracing On The TV	151	(4)
Part Four: Beating The Spreads	155	(22)
Chapter 1: Profit Margins And Profitability In The Spread Markets	157	(2)
Chapter 2: Avoid The Christmas Syndrome	159	(2)
Chapter 3: Exploiting Disparities	161	(2)
Chapter 4: To Arb Or Not To Arb: That Is The Question	163	(2)
Chapter 5: Beware The Downside!	165	(2)
Chapter 6: Quarb Strategy: Using The Odds To Beat The Odds	167	(3)
Chapter 7: Tomorrow's Another Day	170	(2)
Chapter 8: Betting On The Election Spreads	172	(2)
Chapter 9: Control The Consequences	174	(3)
Part Five: Beating The Exchanges	177	(12)
Chapter 1: Backing And Laying On The Exchanges	179	(1)
Chapter 2: Odds Betting	180	(4)
Introduction	180	(4)
Chapter 3: Line And Range Betting	184	(2)
What Is Line Betting?	184	(1)
What Is Range Betting?	185	(1)
Chapter 4: Asian Handicap Betting On The Exchanges	186	(3)
Backing England At Scratch	187	(1)
Backing England With A Half Goal Deficit	187	(2)
Part Six: World Cup Fever	189	(28)
Chapter 1: Different Betting Strategies	191	(21)
Fixed Odds	191	(8)
Spread Betting	199	(8)
Exchange Spread Betting	207	(5)
Chapter 2: If It Looks Too Good To Be True, Then It Is Too Good To Be True!	212	(5)
Conclusion	217	(1)
Appendix 1: Some Interesting And Useful Internet Sites	218	(3)
Bookmakers	218	(1)
Spread Betting Companies	219	(1)
Betting Exchanges	219	(1)
Sports And Betting Information And Advice	219	(2)
Appendix 2: World Cup 2002 Statistics	221	(12)
Group A	221	(1)
Group B	222	(1)
Group C	223	(1)
Group D	224	(1)
Group E	225	(1)
Group F	226	(1)
Group G	227	(1)
Group H	228	(1)
Round of 16	229	(2)
Quarter-finals	231	(1)
Semi-finals	231	(1)
3rd place play-off	232	(1)
World Cup final	232	(1)
Appendix 3: Poisson Table	233	(1)
Bibliography	234