Introduction | p. 1 |
Financial Analysis | p. 11 |
The Balance Sheet | p. 13 |
Introduction to balance sheets | p. 13 |
The yin and yang of accountancy | p. 14 |
Assets | p. 15 |
Non-current or net fixed assets | p. 16 |
Current assets | p. 16 |
Reinterpreting 'assets equal equity plus liabilities' | p. 18 |
Shareholders: suppliers of equity capital | p. 19 |
Debt holders: suppliers of interest-bearing capital | p. 19 |
Shareholders' equity: a residual value | p. 20 |
Liabilities and shareholders' equity | p. 22 |
Long-term financing | p. 23 |
Short-term financing | p. 24 |
Returning to balance sheets as a box of blocks | p. 25 |
Net long-term financing | p. 27 |
Introduction | p. 27 |
Net long-term financing | p. 28 |
Risks of negative net long-term financing | p. 28 |
Matching strategy versus aggressive strategy | p. 29 |
Impact of purchases on net long-term financing | p. 30 |
Mirroring net long-term financing | p. 33 |
Review and conclusions | p. 36 |
Net long-term financing revisited | p. 37 |
Working Capital Requirements, Managerial Balance Sheets and Matching | p. 43 |
Working Capital Requirements | p. 43 |
Introduction | p. 43 |
Positive working capital requirements | p. 45 |
Negative working capital requirements | p. 47 |
Always work with working capital requirements before cash | p. 48 |
Managerial Balance Sheets | p. 49 |
Intermezzo: How not to look at the net short-term financing | p. 52 |
Working capital requirements: net long-term and short-term financing | p. 53 |
Matching strategies | p. 54 |
Review and conclusions | p. 57 |
Managerial Balance Sheets | p. 58 |
Balance Sheets and Strategic Decision-Making | p. 59 |
Step one: Measuring net long-term financing (NLF) | p. 60 |
Step two: Calculating and monitoring working capital requirements | p. 60 |
Advantages of applying working capital requirements | p. 61 |
WCR-to-sales ratios | p. 62 |
Calculating working capital requirements | p. 63 |
Additional management considerations | p. 65 |
Liquidity levels and financial structures: NLF & WCR | p. 68 |
Conventional liquidity ratios | p. 68 |
Formula for assessment of structural liquidity positions | p. 70 |
Combining liquidity ratios and net treasury | p. 70 |
Additional strategic and management considerations | p. 72 |
Short-term financing dependence: a potentially vicious cycle | p. 72 |
Review and conclusions | p. 74 |
"WCR-ratios" | p. 75 |
Profit and Loss Statements | p. 77 |
Balance sheets and profit and loss statements | p. 77 |
Exploring profit and loss statements | p. 80 |
From sales to gross profits | p. 80 |
Operating profits | p. 81 |
Costs and revenues for extraordinary items | p. 82 |
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT) | p. 83 |
Regular profits | p. 84 |
Earnings Before Taxes (EBT) and Earnings After Taxes (EAT) | p. 84 |
Return on equity and sustainable growth rates | p. 85 |
Review and conclusions | p. 85 |
Profit and Loss Statements and Strategic Decision-Making | p. 87 |
Step four: EBIT and EBITDA developments | p. 88 |
Step five: Net Operating Cash Flow | p. 93 |
Step six: Debt repayments and Net Operating Cash Flow | p. 95 |
Net Operating Cash Flow Coverage | p. 97 |
Net cash flow from investing activities | p. 99 |
Net cash flow from financing activities | p. 100 |
Adjusted cash flow statements for strategic decision-making | p. 105 |
Review and conclusions | p. 109 |
Forecasts for Managerial Balance Sheets and Profit and Loss Statements | p. 111 |
Profit and loss statements: budgets and forecasts | p. 111 |
Managerial balance sheet: budgets and forecasts | p. 113 |
Forecasting equity | p. 114 |
Fixed assets | p. 114 |
Working capital requirement and cash | p. 115 |
Long-term and short-term financial debt | p. 118 |
Review and conclusions | p. 120 |
A Seven-Step Sequence and Conclusion | p. 123 |
Company Valuation | p. 127 |
Key Valuation Concepts | p. 135 |
Equity versus entity valuation approaches | p. 135 |
Return on equity and economic profits | p. 137 |
Return on equity and required return on equity | p. 137 |
Equity and economic profits | p. 138 |
Return on invested capital and economic profits | p. 139 |
Return on invested capital | p. 139 |
Entity approaches to economic profits | p. 142 |
Adjusted Book Values | p. 143 |
Economic profits and discounted free cash flow | p. 146 |
Economic profit models | p. 146 |
Net Present Value | p. 147 |
Discounted cash flow models | p. 150 |
Review and conclusions | p. 151 |
Four Main Valuation Methods | p. 155 |
Equity cash flow | p. 155 |
Additional investments in fixed assets | p. 159 |
Changes in working capital requirements | p. 160 |
Changes in financial debt | p. 161 |
Free cash flow (FCF) | p. 164 |
Free cash flow and equity cash flow | p. 165 |
From EB1T to NOPLAT | p. 166 |
NOPLAT versus NOPAT | p. 166 |
From NOPLAT to free cash flow | p. 167 |
Economic Profits | p. 169 |
Equity approaches to Economic Profits | p. 170 |
Entity approaches to Economic Profits or Economic Value Added | p. 173 |
Conclusions regarding the main valuation methods | p. 178 |
Weighted Average Cost of Capital | p. 183 |
Required returns on debt (Kd) and equity (Ke) | p. 184 |
Required return on debt | p. 184 |
Required return on equity | p. 185 |
Capital Asset Pricing Model and beta | p. 187 |
Beta and (un)systematic risk | p. 187 |
Business risk and financial risk | p. 189 |
Calculating the Weighted Average Cost of Capital | p. 192 |
Review and conclusions | p. 193 |
Adjusted Present Value and required return on equity | p. 195 |
Adjusted Present Value model | p. 195 |
Alternative calculations of required return on equity rates | p. 197 |
Valuation with Discounted Cash Flow and Economic Profits | p. 205 |
Discounted equity cash flows | p. 206 |
Calculating equity cash flows | p. 206 |
Calculating equity betas for required return on equity rates | p. 207 |
Calculating equity values | p. 208 |
How to assess calculated equity values | p. 209 |
Important equity cash flow considerations | p. 209 |
Equity approach to Economic Profits | p. 211 |
Entity approaches to Economic Profits, or EVA™ | p. 213 |
NOPLAT calculations | p. 214 |
Calculating the WACC | p. 215 |
Economic Profit calculations with entity approaches | p. 216 |
Management implications of Economic Profits | p. 217 |
Discounted free cash flow valuation | p. 222 |
Calculating net investments | p. 223 |
Calculating free cash flows | p. 224 |
Estimating growth rates | p. 225 |
Calculating WACC as discount rate | p. 226 |
Calculating entity values and indirect equity values | p. 227 |
Impact of selected growth rates | p. 227 |
Working capital requirements and free cash flow | p. 228 |
Review and conclusions | p. 229 |
NOPLAT and ROIC adjustments | p. 232 |
Corrections to Invested Capital and ROIC | p. 232 |
EBIT DEBIT model | p. 240 |
Financial Analysis and Company Valuation | p. 245 |
Conclusion | p. 257 |
Bibliography | p. 263 |
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