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List of Figures | p. xi |
List of Tables | p. xiii |
Preface | p. xv |
Main Symbols | p. xvii |
From the Short Run to the Long | |
Introduction: Toward a Classical Growth Model | p. 3 |
Elements of the Classical Approach | p. 5 |
Harrod and Modern Growth Theory | p. 8 |
Rethinking Fiscal Surpluses | p. 13 |
The Nature of the Long Run | p. 17 |
Effective Demand and Say's Law | p. 18 |
The Paradox of Thrift | p. 19 |
The Problem of Excess Capacity | p. 22 |
A Classical-Kaleckian Model | p. 29 |
Capital-Constrained Growth | p. 29 |
Labor-Constrained Growth | p. 35 |
An Intellectual Division of Labor | p. 39 |
Long-run Models of Fiscal Policy | |
A Two-Class Model | p. 43 |
Elements of the Growth Models | p. 44 |
Wages and Profits | p. 45 |
Capitalists | p. 46 |
Workers | p. 48 |
Endogenous Growth | p. 50 |
Dynamics of Capital Accumulation | p. 52 |
Comparative Dynamics | p. 56 |
Exogenous Growth | p. 58 |
Temporary Equilibrium | p. 59 |
Dynamics of Wealth Distribution | p. 60 |
Comparative Dynamics | p. 68 |
Intuition and Alternative Closures | p. 71 |
Appendix: Dynamic Programming | p. 72 |
Saving and the Class Structure | p. 77 |
Critical Values of the Discount Factor | p. 77 |
Saving | p. 79 |
Saving Motives | p. 79 |
Saving Propensities | p. 80 |
The Institutional Structure of Saving | p. 80 |
The Distribution of Wealth | p. 81 |
On Class Analysis | p. 84 |
Debt and Endogenous Growth | p. 87 |
Public Debt in a Growth Model | p. 88 |
Government | p. 88 |
On the Government Budget Constraint | p. 91 |
Capitalists with Infinite Horizon | p. 94 |
Capitalists with Finite Horizons | p. 97 |
Workers | p. 98 |
Debt in the Infinite Horizon Case | p. 99 |
Temporary Equilibrium | p. 99 |
Steady State | p. 100 |
Comparative Dynamics | p. 101 |
Transitional Dynamics and Class Structure | p. 102 |
Debt in the Finite Horizon Case | p. 106 |
Temporary Equilibrium | p. 106 |
Steady State | p. 107 |
Comparative Dynamics | p. 108 |
Transitional Dynamics and Class Structure | p. 111 |
Debt in the Endogenous Growth Models | p. 113 |
Appendix: Elements of A and B Matrices | p. 114 |
Debt and Exogenous Growth | p. 116 |
Debt in the Infinite Horizon Case | p. 116 |
Temporary Equilibrium | p. 117 |
Steady State | p. 118 |
Comparative Dynamics | p. 119 |
Transitional Dynamics and Fiscal Policy | p. 120 |
Welfare Effect of Demographic Shock | p. 124 |
Debt in the Finite Horizon Case | p. 124 |
Temporary Equilibrium | p. 124 |
Steady State | p. 125 |
Comparative Dynamics | p. 126 |
Transitional Dynamics and Fiscal Policy | p. 129 |
Debt in the Exogenous Growth Models | p. 131 |
Fiscal Policy and Wealth Inequality in the United States | p. 132 |
Pensions and Endogenous Growth | p. 139 |
Elements of a Public Pension System | p. 140 |
Government | p. 140 |
Workers | p. 141 |
Money's Worth and Funding Systems | p. 143 |
Endogenous Growth with a Public Pension | p. 147 |
Steady State | p. 147 |
Dynamics | p. 149 |
Conditions for Two-Class Regime | p. 152 |
Policy Issues | p. 153 |
Policy Design | p. 154 |
Policy Reform | p. 163 |
Pensions and Exogenous Growth | p. 168 |
Preliminary Issues | p. 168 |
Exogenous Growth with a Public Pension | p. 170 |
Temporary Equilibrium | p. 170 |
Steady State | p. 171 |
Comparative Dynamics | p. 174 |
Transitional Dynamics and Expectations | p. 177 |
Stable Expectations | p. 177 |
Adaptive Expectations | p. 179 |
Perfect Foresight | p. 181 |
Demographic Shocks | p. 182 |
PAYGO Case | p. 183 |
Funded Case | p. 184 |
Transitional Dynamics | p. 185 |
The Old-Age Crisis | p. 186 |
Policy Issues | p. 187 |
Policy Design | p. 187 |
Policy Reform | p. 190 |
Optimal Policy | p. 197 |
Natural Rate of Growth | p. 198 |
One-Class Regime | p. 198 |
Two-Class Regime | p. 201 |
Optimal Public Pension | p. 204 |
One-Class Case | p. 204 |
Policy Dilemmas in the Two-Class Model | p. 211 |
Conclusion | p. 216 |
Technical Change and the Production Function | |
Fossil Production Function: Theory | p. 221 |
Theory of Production | p. 222 |
Biased Technical Change | p. 224 |
Fossil Production Function | p. 227 |
Viable Technical Changes | p. 228 |
Biased Technical Change and Growth | p. 233 |
Endogenous Growth | p. 234 |
Exogenous Growth | p. 236 |
Total Factor Productivity? | p. 239 |
Appendix: Control Theory | p. 240 |
Fossil Production Function: Evidence | p. 243 |
The Aggregate Data | p. 245 |
Adjustments | p. 245 |
Technical Change | p. 248 |
Profit Share | p. 249 |
Viability: A First Pass | p. 251 |
The Wage-Profit Curves | p. 253 |
Cross-Sectional Data | p. 253 |
Pooled Data | p. 258 |
Country Studies | p. 260 |
Conclusion | p. 265 |
Summary | |
Fiscal Policy Reconsidered | p. 269 |
The Burden of Public Debt | p. 270 |
Pensions and the Nation as Rentier | p. 271 |
The Production Function | p. 273 |
A Final Admonition | p. 274 |
References | p. 277 |
Author Index | p. 289 |
Subject Index | p. 293 |
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