Collective Preferences in Democratic Politics: Opinion Surveys and the Will of the People

by Scott L. Althaus

• ISBN13: 9780521527873
• ISBN10: 0521527872
• Format: Paperback
• Copyright: 2003-09-08
• Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Summary

Since so few people appear knowledgeable about public affairs, one might question whether collective policy preferences revealed in opinion surveys accurately convey the distribution of voices and interests in a society. This study, the first comprehensive treatment of the relationship between knowledge, representation, and political equality in opinion surveys, suggests some surprising answers. Knowledge does matter, and the way it is distributed in society can cause collective preferences to reflect disproportionately the opinions of some groups more than others. Sometimes collective preferences seem to represent something like the will of the people, but frequently they do not. Sometimes they rigidly enforce political equality in the expression of political viewpoints, but often they do not. The primary culprit is not any inherent shortcoming in the methods of survey research. Rather, it is the limited degree of knowledge held by ordinary citizens about public affairs. Accounting for these factors can help survey researchers, journalists, politicians, and concerned citizens better appreciate the pitfalls and possibilities for using opinion polls to represent the people's voice.

Table of Contents

List of Figures and Tables	viii
Acknowledgments	xi
1 Introduction	1	(28)
PART I ILLUSIONS OF AGGREGATION
2 The Power of Noise	29	(30)
3 Who Speaks for the People?	59	(38)
PART II INFORMATION EFFECTS IN COLLECTIVE PREFERENCES
4 The Impact of Information Effects	97	(48)
5 The Structure and Causes of Information Effects	145	(51)
6 The Temporal Dynamics of Information Effects	196	(47)
PART III OPINION SURVEYS IN DEMOCRATIC POLITICS
7 Opinion Surveys and the Will of the People	243	(34)
8 What Surveys Can Tell Us about Public Opinion	277	(37)
Appendix A: Political Knowledge Indices	314	(5)
Appendix B: Methodology	319	(14)
References	333	(30)
Index	363