Complex Decision Making

by Qudrat-Ullah, H.; Spector, J. Michael; Davidsen, P. I.

• ISBN13: 9783540736646
• ISBN10: 3540736646
• Format: Hardcover
• Copyright: 2007-12-04
• Publisher: Springer Verlag

Summary

Today's ever more complex world creates challenges for decision makers. This volume reviews the principles underlying complex decision making, the handling of uncertainties in dynamic environments, and the various modeling approaches. Beginning with a discussion of the underlying concepts, theories and empirical evidence, the book gives you a range of practical tools and techniques for decision making in complex environments and systems.

Table of Contents

Complex Decision Making: Concepts, Theories, and Empirical Evidence
How to Improve Dynamic Decision Making? Practice and Promise	p. 3
Expertise and Dynamic Tasks	p. 25
Tools and Techniques for Decision Making in Complex Systems
Dynamic Handling of Uncertainty for Decision Making	p. 41
Using System Dynamics and Multiple Objective Optimization to Support Policy Analysis for Complex Systems	p. 59
Creation of Hydroelectric System Scheduling by Simulation	p. 83
Complex Decision Making using Non-Parametric Data Envelopment Analysis	p. 97
Using Group Model Building to Inform Public Policy Making and Implementation	p. 113
Agents First! Using Agent-based Simulation to Identify and Quantify Macro Structures	p. 139
System Dynamics and Agent-Based Modeling in Action
Influencing and Interpreting Health and Social Care Policy in the UK	p. 155
System Dynamics Advances Strategie Economic Transition Planning in a Developing Nation	p. 185
Saving a Valley: Systemic Decision-making Based on Qualitative and Quantitative System Dynamics	p. 211
Building Long-Term Manufacturer-Retailer Relationships through Strategie Human Resource Management Policies: A System Dynamics Approach	p. 227
Diffusion and Social Networks: Revisiting Medical Innovation with Agents	p. 247
Methodological Issues in Research on Complex Decision Making
Measuring Change in Mental Models of Complex Dynamic Systems	p. 269
A Comprehensive Model of Goal Dynamics in Organizations: Setting, Evaluation and Revision	p. 295
Future Directions on Complex Decision Making
Future Directions on Complex Decision Making Using Modeling and Simulation Decision Support	p. 323
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