List of Tables | |
List of Figures | |
Preface | |
Acknowledgments | |
Introduction: Contemporary Political Economy | p. 1 |
The Controversies: An Overview | p. 3 |
Economic Influences on Political Support | p. 5 |
Responsibility Attributions and Political Choice | p. 11 |
Political Control of the Economy? | p. 17 |
Methodological Issues | p. 19 |
Three Contexts of Controversy | p. 22 |
The Controversies Considered | p. 25 |
Notes | p. 29 |
The Economics and Politics of Presidential Approval: The Reagan Years | p. 31 |
Measures and Methods | p. 33 |
Reagan's Presidential Approval Ratings | p. 35 |
Trends in Inflation and Unemployment | p. 36 |
The Subjective Economy | p. 38 |
Political (and Economic) Interventions | p. 39 |
Models of Presidential Approval | p. 39 |
Models of Economic Evaluations | p. 45 |
Conclusion: A "Teflon" President? | p. 47 |
Notes | p. 49 |
Through a Glass Darkly: Economic Evaluations and Governing Party Support in Mrs. Thatcher's Britain | p. 51 |
Theoretical Considerations | p. 53 |
Modeling the Subjective Economy | p. 56 |
From the Objective to the Subjective Economy | p. 60 |
Do Subjective Economic Evaluations Matter? | p. 66 |
Conclusion: Through a Glass Darkly | p. 70 |
Notes | p. 72 |
The Dynamics of Third-Party Support: The British Liberals and the Alliance, 1979-1987 | p. 75 |
Theoretical Perspectives on Party Support | p. 77 |
Measures | p. 81 |
Economic Conditions and Economic Evaluations | p. 82 |
A Model of Alliance Support | p. 84 |
The Economics and Politics of Alliance Support | p. 89 |
Conclusion: The British Party System--Bent, Not Broken | p. 93 |
Notes | p. 96 |
Regional Political-Economic Contexts and Party Support in Canada, 1985-1988 | p. 99 |
The Canadian Political Context | p. 100 |
The Economics and Politics of Party Support | p. 103 |
Measures and Methods | p. 110 |
The Determinants of Party Support | p. 112 |
Region, Economy, Politics | p. 117 |
Conclusion: The Politics (and Economics?) of Party Support | p. 118 |
Notes | p. 120 |
Campaign Context, Economic Evaluations, and Electoral Choice: The 1988 American Presidential Election | p. 123 |
Contemporary Approaches to Economic Evaluations | p. 124 |
The Model of Economic Evaluations | p. 125 |
The Distribution and Structure of Economic Evaluations | p. 127 |
Recent Controversies over Economic Voting | p. 130 |
A Contextual Model of Presidential Voting | p. 131 |
Economic Evaluations and Presidential Voting in 1988 | p. 134 |
Conclusion | p. 137 |
Notes | p. 139 |
"It's Their Fault!" The Economics and Politics of Governing Party Support in Canada Since 1988 | p. 141 |
Changing Economic Evaluations | p. 143 |
Economic Issues | p. 149 |
Modeling Attitudes Toward Free Trade and the GST | p. 152 |
Progressive Conservative Support | p. 156 |
Conclusion: From Disaster to Dismissal? | p. 159 |
Notes | p. 161 |
Macroeconomic Theories and Political Interests: The Political Business Cycle | p. 165 |
The Macroeconomic Foundations | p. 166 |
Reaction Functions: Theoretical Perspectives | p. 171 |
Looking for the Political Business Cycle | p. 175 |
Manipulating the Economy for Political Profit: Britain, 1983-1987 | p. 180 |
Conclusion: The Future of the Political Business Cycle | p. 186 |
Notes | p. 188 |
International Developments and Presidential Factors: Political Business Cycles in the United States | p. 189 |
The Controversies over Political Business Cycles | p. 189 |
Two Models of the Macroeconomy | p. 191 |
Measures and Methods | p. 195 |
Presidents, International Developments, and the Economy | p. 197 |
Conclusion | p. 201 |
Notes | p. 204 |
Appendix A: Box-Jenkins-Tiao Time Series Analysis | p. 205 |
References | p. 209 |
Index | p. 231 |
Table of Contents provided by Blackwell. All Rights Reserved. |