Figures | |
Tables | |
Foreword | |
Acknowledgements | |
Abbreviations | |
Introduction and analytical framework | p. 1 |
The old versus the new industrial paradigm | p. 5 |
The diffusion and benefits of modernising innovations | p. 12 |
Modes of use | p. 20 |
The use of modernising innovations: analysing circumstances and prospects | p. 29 |
The forecasting approach | p. 30 |
Methodological approach | p. 34 |
Data and forecasting about Brazilian circumstances and technological change | p. 38 |
The Brazilian style of development | p. 51 |
The institutional context: an inward oriented approach to development | p. 51 |
The economic context: unstable growth in the 1980s | p. 55 |
The social context: a lost decade | p. 60 |
The technological context: low investment and concentrated efforts | p. 66 |
Modernisation levels: technological heterogeneity | p. 71 |
Changes in industrial structure, growth and competitiveness: expectations for the future | p. 78 |
Structural characteristics of leading firms | p. 78 |
Expectations for growth | p. 80 |
Changes in the determinants of competitiveness | p. 85 |
Determinants of innovation | p. 97 |
Determinants of investment | p. 98 |
Reasons for the adoption of modernising innovations | p. 100 |
Barriers to diffusion | p. 111 |
The diffusion of modernising innovations | p. 120 |
General diffusion trends | p. 121 |
Flexible automation | p. 122 |
Organisational techniques | p. 130 |
Technological strategies | p. 139 |
Interpreting the diffusion results | p. 144 |
The implications of modernising innovations | p. 148 |
General implications | p. 149 |
Areas of impact | p. 151 |
The organisation of production | p. 163 |
Interaction of modernising innovations | p. 170 |
Employment and skills | p. 173 |
The impact of modernising innovations on employment and skills | p. 175 |
The skills and knowledge base associated with flexible automation | p. 183 |
The skills and knowledge base associated with new organisational techniques | p. 191 |
New production practices and the base of knowledge for the workforce | p. 198 |
Degradation, continuation or transformation? | p. 202 |
Future perspectives for the leading firms | p. 203 |
Alternative modernisation scenarios | p. 214 |
Policy implications | p. 225 |
Appendix I | p. 235 |
Appendix II | p. 237 |
Appendix III | p. 238 |
Bibliography | p. 257 |
Index | |
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