El Niño and the Southern Oscillation: Multiscale Variability and Global and Regional Impacts

by Edited by Henry F. Diaz , Vera Markgraf

• ISBN13: 9780521621380
• ISBN10: 0521621380
• Format: Hardcover
• Copyright: 2000-11-20
• Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Summary

The El Niuo/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon is a recurrent feature of the climate in tropical regions. In this volume leading experts summarize information gained over the past decade concerning diverse aspects of ENSO, which have led to marked improvements in our ability to forecast its development months or seasons in advance. This volume compares ENSO's modern morphology and variability with its recent historic and prehistoric behaviour. It expands and updates Diaz and Markgraf's earlier volume El Niuo: Historical and Paleoclimatic Aspects of the Southern Oscillation (1992, Cambridge University Press). The volume will be of importance to a broad range of scientists in meteorology, oceanography, hydrology, geosciences, ecology, public health, emergency management response and mitigation, and decision-making. It will also be used as a supplementary textbook and reference source in graduate courses in environmental studies.

Table of Contents

Contributors	vii
Acknowledgments	xi
Preface	xiii
SECTION A Global and Regional Characteristics and Impacts of ENSO Variability	1	(204)
ENSO and Climatic Variability in the Past 150 Years	3	(54)
Robert J. Allan
Understanding and Predicting Extratropical Teleconnections Related to ENSO	57	(32)
Martin P. Hoerling
Arun Kumar
Global Modes of ENSO and Non-ENSO Sea Surface Temperature Variability and Their Associations with Climate	89	(24)
David B. Enfield
Alberto M. Mestas-Nunez
Multiscale Streamflow Variability Associated with El Nino/Southern Oscillation	113	(36)
Michael D. Dettinger
Daniel R. Cayan
Gregory J. McCabe
Jose A. Marengo
El Nino/Southern Oscillation and the Seasonal Predictability of Tropical Cyclones	149	(34)
Christopher W. Landsea
Climate and ENSO Variability Associated with Vector-Borne Diseases in Colombia	183	(22)
German Poveda
Nicholas E. Graham
Paul R. Epstein
William Rojas
Martha L. Quinones
Ivan Dario Velez
Willem J. M. Martens
SECTION B Long-Term Changes in ENSO: Historical, Paleoclimatic, and Theoretical Aspects	205	(284)
The Documented Historical Record of El Nino Events in Peru: An Update of the Quinn Record (Sixteenth through Nineteenth Centuries)	207	(90)
Luc Ortlieb
Tree-Ring Records of Past ENSO Variability and Forcing	297	(28)
Edward R. Cook
Rosanne D. D'Arrigo
Julia E. Cole
David W. Stahle
Ricardo Villalba
The Tropical Ice Core Record of ENSO	325	(32)
Lonnie G. Thompson
Keith A. Henderson
Ellen Mosley-Thompson
Ping-Nan Lin
Long-Term Variability in the El Nino/Southern Oscillation and Associated Teleconnections	357	(56)
Michael E. Mann
Raymond S. Bradley
Malcolm K. Hughes
Modulation of ENSO Variability on Decadal and Longer Timescales	413	(30)
Richard Kleeman
Scott B. Power
Global Climate Change and El Nino: A Theoretical Framework	443	(22)
De-Zheng Sun
The Past ENSO Record: A Synthesis	465	(24)
Verma Markgraf
Henry F. Diaz
Index	489