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9780195161526

Engineering Economy Applying Theory to Practice

by
  • ISBN13:

    9780195161526

  • ISBN10:

    0195161521

  • Edition: 2nd
  • Format: Hardcover
  • Copyright: 2003-04-10
  • Publisher: Oxford University Press
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Supplemental Materials

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Summary

Thoroughly revised in this second edition, Engineering Economy: Applying Theory to Practice combines real-world problems minicases, and examples with a solid theoretical foundation in engineering economy. This innovative book covers all the standard topics included in the Fundamentals of Engineering (FE) Exam. It clearly illustrates concepts and methods-such as cost estimating, sensitivity analysis, probability, and multiple objectives-needed for successful application of engineering economy in industry practice. In addition, fully integrated Excel® spreadsheets throughout the text function as indispensable analytical tools for problem-solving and understanding. Engineering Economy: Applying Theory to Practice, 2/e , is a comprehensive introductory text suitable for upper-division undergraduate courses, graduate courses, or as a professional reference. NEW TO THE SECOND EDITION: · Unique insight into using Excel® functions for MACRS depreciation · New problems, examples, references, illustrations, graphs, and tables · Minicase studies at the ends of most chapters · Improved coverage of replacement analysis, inflation, and sensitivity analysis · An appendix on engineering economy-based accounting · More accessible presentation of analyzing the defender in replacement problems · Discussion of geometric gradients unified with other engineering economy factors · Comparison of mutually exclusive alternatives now precedes the treatment of constrained project selection/capital budgeting STUDENT CD-ROM-INCLUDED IN EVERY BOOK · INTERACTIVE MULTIPLE-CHOICE PROBLEMS: A set of web-based problems that tests and reinforces knowledge of key concepts · EXCEL® SPREADSHEET PROGRAM: Twenty-nine generators create quasi-random problem sets and solutions INSTRUCTOR SUPPLEMENTS · A CD-ROM containing PowerPoint® overheads with accompanying Excel spreadsheets · A SOLUTIONS MANUAL including answers to end-of-chapter problems and mini-cases, and transparency masters for all exhibits

Author Biography


Ted G. Eschenbach, P.E., is a Professor of Engineering Management at the University of Alaska, Anchorage, and a consultant at TGE Consulting. He is the author or coauthor of five leading engineering economy texts including Engineering Economic Analysis 8/e (2000). The Economic Analysis of Industrial Projects 2/e (1992), and Cases in Engineering Economy (1989). He is also on the editorial board of The Engineering Economist and was founding editor of Engineering Management Journal. In addition, he has served in a variety of positions for the following professional societies: ASEM, ASEE, and IIE.

Table of Contents

Preface xxiii
PART 1 BASIC CONCEPTS AND TOOLS
Making Economic Decisions
3(20)
What Is Engineering Economy?
4(2)
Principles for Decision Making
6(3)
Common Measure
6(1)
Include All Consequences
6(1)
Only Differences Matter
6(2)
Make Separable Decisions Separately
8(1)
Adopt a Systems Viewpoint
8(1)
Use a Common Planning Horizon
8(1)
Address Uncertainty
8(1)
The Decision-Making Process
9(3)
Define Problem
10(1)
Choose Objective(s)
10(1)
Identify Alternatives
11(1)
Evaluate Consequences
11(1)
Select
11(1)
Implement
12(1)
Audit
12(1)
Summary of the Decision Process
12(1)
The Environment for Decisions
12(5)
Nonlinear Process
13(1)
Iterative Modeling and Spreadsheets
14(1)
One Decision in a Continuing Stream
14(1)
Importance of Communication Skills
15(1)
Analysis vs. Action
15(1)
Private and Public Politics
16(1)
The Role of Engineering Economy
17(1)
Problem Too Small to Merit Engineering Economy
17(1)
Time Period Too Short to Merit Engineering Economy
17(1)
Engineering Economy Dominates Decision Making
17(1)
Engineering Economy Is One Factor in Decision Making
17(1)
Operational Economics
18(2)
Summary
20(3)
The Time Value of Money
23(23)
What Is Interest?
23(3)
Interest Rates Vary
24(2)
Simple vs. Compound Interest
26(2)
Simple Interest
26(1)
Compound Interest
26(2)
Cash Flow Diagrams
28(3)
Categories of Cash Flow
28(1)
Timing of Cash Flows
29(1)
It is Better Not to Simplify the Cash Flow Diagrams
30(1)
Drawing Cash Flow Diagrams with a Spreadsheet
31(1)
Equivalence for 4 Loans
31(3)
Equivalence Defined
31(2)
Calculating the Interest for Each Year
33(1)
Finding an Equivalent Present Worth
34(1)
Limits on Equivalence
34(2)
Equivalence Depends on the Interest Rate
34(1)
Equivalence with Respect to Time Value of Money Only
34(2)
Compounding Periods Shorter than a Year
36(5)
Compounding Periods Are M per Year
36(2)
Nominal vs. Effective Interest Rates
38(3)
Continuous Compounding
41(1)
Summary
41(5)
Equivalence---A Factor Approach
46(43)
Definitions and Assumptions
47(2)
Assumptions
47(1)
Definitions
48(1)
Tables of Engineering Economy Factors
49
Factor Notation
50(1)
Names of the Engineering Economy Factors
50(1)
Format for the Interest Rate
50(1)
Interpolation
50(3)
Formulas vs. Factors
53
Single-Payment Factors (P and F)
43(12)
Formula Development
53(1)
Tabulated Factors
53(1)
(P/F) and (F/P) as a Function of i and N
54(1)
Uniform Flows
55(6)
Formula Development
55(1)
Tabulated Factors
56(2)
Calculating an Interest Rate
58(1)
(A/P), (A/F), (P/A), and (F/A) vs. i and N
59(2)
Combining Factors
61(4)
Deferred Annuities
61(1)
Annuities Due for Prepaid Expenses and Other Beginning-of-Year Cash Flows
62(1)
Constructing Formulas from Cash Flow Diagrams
63(2)
Deriving One Factor's Formula From Another's
65(1)
Arithmetic Gradients
65(4)
Definition
65(1)
Using the Arithmetic Gradient Factors
66(3)
Arithmetic Gradient Formulas
69(1)
Geometric Gradients
69(7)
Geometric Gradients Change at a Constant Rate
69(1)
The Basic Geometric Formula
69(2)
The Four Geometric Rates
71(1)
Inflation
71(1)
Mathematical Model for PW
72(1)
Present Worth Formula for a Single Geometric Gradient
72(3)
Using Equivalent Discount Rates for Geometric Gradients
75(1)
Summary
76(13)
Appendix 3A Continuous Flow and Continuous Compounding
81(1)
Definitions
81(1)
Tabulated factors
82(4)
Continuous vs. End-of-Period Assumptions
86(3)
Spreadsheets and Economic Analysis
89(24)
Using Spreadsheets for Economic Analysis
90(1)
Why Use Spreadsheets?
90(1)
The Elements of a Spreadsheet
90(1)
Relative and Absolute Addresses
91(1)
Spreadsheet Modeling
91(5)
Using a Data Block
91(1)
Defining Variables in a Spreadsheet
92(1)
Using Relative and Absolute Addresses in Your Formulas
92(1)
Explaining and Labeling your Formulas
93(2)
Formatting Your Spreadsheets
95(1)
Financial Functions in Spreadsheets
96(5)
Spreadsheet Annuity Functions
96(3)
Spreadsheet Block Functions
99(2)
Examples Show Spreadsheet Models Can Be More Realistic
101(4)
Using Spreadsheets to Get a Project Funded
105(3)
Sensitivity Analysis
105(1)
Creating Graphs
106(1)
Documenting Data Sources
107(1)
Summary
108(5)
PART 2 ANALYZING A PROJECT
Present Worth
113(25)
The PW Measure
113(2)
Is PW > 0?
113(2)
Standard Assumptions
115(1)
Examples of When to Use PW
115(4)
Rolling Back Irregular Cash Flows for PW Calculations
119(3)
Salvage Values
122(1)
Capitalized Cost and Perpetual Life
123(2)
Staged Projects
125(2)
Cost of Underutilized Capacity
127(1)
Spreadsheets and Shorter Periods
128(2)
Spreadsheets and More Exact Models
130(2)
Summary
132(6)
Equivalent Annual Worth
138(27)
The Equivalent Annual Worth Measure
139(1)
Assumptions and Sign Conventions
139(1)
Examples of Annual Evaluations
140(2)
Finding the EAC of ``Irregular'' Cash Flows
142(3)
EAC of a Single Interior Cash Flow
142(2)
Deferred Annuities to Regular Annuities
144(1)
EAC Formulas for Salvage Values and Working Capital
145(2)
Capital Recovery with Salvage Values
145(1)
Working Capital
145(2)
Perpetual Life
147(3)
Assumption and Formulas
147(1)
N vs. Infinity
148(1)
Arithmetic Gradients and Perpetual Life
148(2)
Repeated Renewals
150(5)
Repetition for Every Subperiod
151(1)
Capitalized Cost
152(1)
Repeated Renewals with Neither an Initial nor a Final Cash Flow
152(3)
Spreadsheets and Analyzing Loan Repayments
155(5)
Finding the Balance Due
156(1)
Shortening the Time to Payoff by Increasing Payments
156(3)
How Much Goes to Interest? How Much Goes to Principal?
159(1)
Summary
160(5)
Internal Rate of Return
165(28)
Internal Rate of Return
166(1)
Assumptions
167(4)
Loans
168(1)
Investments
168(1)
Multiple Sign Changes
169(1)
Reinvestment Assumption
169(1)
Applying the IRR Measure
169(2)
Finding the IRR
171(4)
Hints and Shortcuts for Finding the IRR
172(3)
Loans and Leases
175(4)
Spreadsheets and the IRR
179(4)
RATE Investment Function
179(2)
IRR Block Function
181(2)
Multiple Sign Changes
183(3)
Mineral Extraction
183(1)
Environmental Restoration
184(1)
Staged Construction or Expansion
185(1)
Summary of Multiple Sign Change Consequences
185(1)
Project Balances over Time
186(1)
Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR)
187(1)
Summary
188(5)
Benefit/Cost Ratios and Other Measures
193(22)
Measures of Economic Attractiveness
194(1)
Conceptual Definitions
194(1)
Frequency and Patterns of Use
194(1)
Benefit/Cost Ratio
195(2)
PW Indexes
197(3)
Mathematical Definition of PW Indexes
197(3)
Future Worth
200(1)
Payback Period
200(4)
Difficulties with Payback Period
202(1)
When Can Payback Be Used?
203(1)
Discounted Payback
204(3)
Why to Use or Not Use
204(1)
Examples of Use
204(3)
Breakeven Volume
207(1)
Summary
208(7)
PART 3 COMPARING ALTERNATIVES AND PROJECTS
Mutually Exclusive Alternatives
215(29)
Applying Engineering Economy to Engineering Design
216(1)
Key Assumption Is the Interest Rate or Minimum Attractive Rate of Return
216(1)
Common Assumptions
216(1)
Comparing Alternatives with Lives of the Same Length
217(2)
PWs and Explicitly Comparing Different-Length Lives
219(3)
Approaches For Defining a Problem Horizon
219(3)
Choosing the Best Horizon
222(1)
Mutually Exclusive Alternatives Without a Common Horizon
222(1)
EAWs and EACs and Implicitly Comparing Different-Length Lives
222(4)
Using EAC for Different-Length Lives Is a Robust Approach
226(2)
Robustness due to Discounting
226(2)
Robustness due to Estimated Lives
228(1)
Benefit/Cost and IRR Comparisons of Mutually Exclusive Alternatives Require Incremental Analysis
228(4)
Defender/Challenger Analysis
232(2)
PW, EAW, and IRR Have the Same Interest Rate Assumption
234(2)
Using the Spreadsheet GOAL SEEK Tool to Calculate Incremental IRRs
236(1)
Summary
237(7)
Replacement Analysis
244(26)
Why Is Equipment Replaced, Retired, or Augmented?
245(3)
Reduced Performance
245(1)
Altered Requirements
245(1)
Obsolescence
246(1)
Risk of Catastrophic Failure or Unplanned Replacement
247(1)
Lease or Rental vs. Ownership
247(1)
Summary of Reasons for Replacement
247(1)
Old and New Are Mutually Exclusive
248(1)
Different-Length Lives
248(1)
Economic Life
248(1)
Sunk Costs, Risks, and Short-Term Cost Savings
249(3)
Sunk Costs
249(1)
Risks of the New often Far Exceed Those of Extending the Old
250(1)
Short-Term Cost Savings Are Not Enough to Compare Repair vs. Replace
251(1)
Optimal Challengers
252(2)
Challenger's Optimal or Economic Life
252(1)
Cost Curve for the Challenger's Economic Life
253(1)
Optimal Defenders
254(6)
Typical Defender's Economic Life
254(2)
Incorrect Assumptions for Minimizing the Defender's EAC
256(2)
When to Calculate the Defender's Best EAC
258(1)
Flow Chart to Summarize the Decision Rules
259(1)
Optimal Capacity Problems
260(2)
Estimating Future Challengers
262(1)
A Simple Rule of Thumb
262(1)
MAPI
262(1)
Replacement and Repair Models
263(3)
Classifying Replacement Models
264(1)
Block Replacement
264(2)
Summary and Conclusions
266(4)
Constrained Project Selection
270(35)
The Constrained Project Selection Problem
271(4)
Mutually Exclusive Choices vs. Constrained Project Selection
271(1)
Budgets and Project Selection
271(2)
Problem Size
273(1)
Budget Flexibility and Contingency Allowances
274(1)
Ranking Projects
275(2)
Investment Opportunity Schedule
275(1)
Ranking by PW or EAW Does Not Work
276(1)
Strengths and Weaknesses of IRR
276(1)
Determining the Minimum Attractive Rate of Return Using the Opportunity Cost of Capital
277(4)
Minimum Attractive Rate of Return (MARR)
279(2)
A Theoretically Optimal Approach for Determining the Capital Budget
281(1)
Capital Limits in the Real World
282(3)
Why Capital Limits Are Imposed
282(1)
Budget Limits and the Cost of Capital
283(2)
Matching Assumptions to the Real World
285(5)
Assumption of Indivisible Projects and Increments of Financing
285(2)
Assumption of Project Independence
287(1)
Assumption of Simultaneous Evaluation
288(1)
Stability and Reinvestment Assumptions
289(1)
Present Worth Indexes and Benefit/Cost Ratios
290(1)
Using the SORT Spreadsheet Tool
291(1)
Using Spreadsheet Investment and Block Functions
291(1)
Using the SORT Tool
291(1)
Summary
292(13)
Appendix 11A Mathematical Programming and Spreadsheets
297(2)
Using Spreadsheets to Solve Linear Programs
299(1)
Disadvantages of Mathematical Programming Models
300(5)
PART 4 ENHANCEMENTS FOR THE REAL WORLD
Depreciation
305(28)
Introduction
306(2)
Definitions
308(1)
Basic Depreciation Methods
308(5)
Straight-Line Method
308(2)
Declining Balance Method
310(1)
SOYD Method
311(2)
Units-of-Production Method
313(1)
Accelerated Cost Recovery
313(4)
Accelerated Cost Recovery System (ACRS)
313(1)
Modified Accelerated Cost Recovery System (MACRS)
314(3)
Alternate MACRS
317(1)
Gains and Losses on Sales and Recaptured Depreciation
317(2)
Optimal Depreciation Strategies
319(2)
PW of a Depreciation Schedule
321(2)
Straight-Line Method
321(1)
Declining Balance Method
321(1)
SOYD Method
321(1)
MACRS
321(2)
Depletion of Resources
323(2)
Cost Depletion
324(1)
Percentage Depletion
324(1)
Section 179 Deduction
325(1)
Recapture for Section 179 Assets
326(1)
Spreadsheet Functions for Depreciation
326(2)
Using VDB for MACRS
327(1)
Summary
328(5)
Income Taxes
333(27)
Principles of Income Taxes
334(1)
Income, Property, Sales, and Value Added Taxes
334(1)
Point of View
334(1)
Principles of Calculation
335(1)
Progressive Marginal Tax Rates
335(2)
Effective Tax Rate for State, Local, and Federal Taxes
336(1)
Finding Taxable Income When Including Depreciation
337(2)
Categorizing Before-Tax Cash Flows
338(1)
Calculating After-Tax Cash Flows and EACs Using Tables or Spreadsheets
339(3)
Selecting an After-Tax IRR
341(1)
Calculating ATCFs and EACs Using Formulas
342(3)
Straight-Line Depreciation
342(1)
MACRS Depreciation
343(1)
Sum-of-the-Years'-Digits (SOYD) Depreciation
344(1)
Investment Tax Credits and Capital Gains
345(2)
History
345(1)
Computing and Using an ITC
345(2)
Capital Gains
347(1)
Interest Deductions and an After-Tax IRR
347(4)
Leverage
350(1)
Summary
351(9)
Appendix 13A Individual Income Taxes
357(3)
Public-Sector Engineering Economy
360(27)
Defining Benefits, Disbenefits, and Costs
361(2)
Agencies that Do Not Serve the Public Directly
361(1)
``Benefits to Whomsoever They Accrue''
362(1)
Why are Public-Sector Problems Difficult?
363(3)
Quantifying and Valuing Benefits
363(1)
Long Problem Horizons
364(1)
Probabilities of Rare Events
364(1)
Multiple Objectives that May Conflict
365(1)
Interest Groups with Differing Perspectives
365(1)
Selecting an Interest Rate
365(1)
Summary
366(1)
Correct Methods and Interest Rates
366(5)
Evaluating a Single Project
366(2)
Criteria for Mutually Exclusive Alternatives
368(1)
Criteria for Constrained Project Selection
369(1)
Deferred Maintenance
370(1)
Whose Point of View?
371(3)
What is Internal? What is External?
371(1)
Federal Subsidies
372(1)
Consumers' Surplus
373(1)
Allocating Costs to Benefit Recipients
374(2)
Valuing the Benefits of Public Projects
376(3)
A Life's Present Value
376(2)
Standards of Federal Agencies
378(1)
Risk and Valuing Public Benefits
379(1)
Cost-Effectiveness
379(2)
Summary
381(6)
Inflation
387(36)
Defining and Measuring Inflation and Deflation
388(4)
The Consumer Price Index (CPI)
388(2)
Annual Inflation Rate
390(1)
Producer Price Indexes
391(1)
Consistent Assumptions for Interest Rates and Cash Flow Estimates
392(4)
Inflation Terminology
392(1)
Matching Interest Rates to Inflation Assumptions
393(1)
Differential Inflation
393(2)
Estimating Differential Inflation
395(1)
Accuracy of Inflation Estimates
395(1)
Solving for PW or EAC when Including Inflation
396(4)
Inflation Examples with Multiple Inflation Rates
400(3)
Leases and Other Prepaid Expenses
403(2)
Depreciation and Loan Payments
405(7)
Inflation and Other Geometric Gradients
412(4)
The Four Geometric Gradients
412(2)
Formulas Based on the Equivalent Discount Rate
414(2)
Summary
416(7)
PART 5 DECISION-MAKING TOOLS
Estimating Cash Flows
423(23)
Introduction
424(2)
Importance of Cost Estimating
424(1)
Impact of Early Project Decisions
424(2)
Cash Flow Estimating and Life-Cycle Stages
426(2)
Hidden Costs
426(1)
Costs during the Project Life Cycle
426(2)
Cash Flow Estimating Standards
428(2)
Stages of Cash Flow Estimating
428(1)
Conceptual Design
428(1)
Preliminary Systems Design
429(1)
Final Systems Design
429(1)
Cost Estimate Definitions and Accuracy
429(1)
Design Criteria and Specifications
430(2)
Design Criteria
430(1)
Specifying Performance
430(2)
Modeling the Base Case
432(1)
Using Indexes for Order-of-Magnitude Estimates
433(2)
Using Capacity Functions for Order-of-Magnitude Estimates
435(2)
Using Growth Curves
437(2)
Using Learning Curves
439(2)
Using Factor Estimates
441(1)
Summary
442(4)
Sensitivity Analysis
446(26)
What Is Sensitivity Analysis?
447(3)
Sources of Uncertainty
447(1)
Breakeven Charts
447(2)
Why Do Sensitivity Analysis?
449(1)
Uncertain Data and Its Impact
450(2)
Defining the Limits of Uncertain Data
450(2)
Estimating Sensitivities
452(1)
Techniques for Sensitivity Analysis
452(4)
Scenarios
452(1)
Relative Sensitivity of the Economic Criteria to Different Variables
453(1)
Tabulating Relative Sensitivity Analysis
454(1)
Tornado Diagram
454(1)
Spiderplot
454(1)
More Advanced Techniques
455(1)
Spiderplots
456(2)
Defining Spiderplots
456(1)
Interpreting a Spiderplot
456(2)
Constructing a Spiderplot
458(4)
By Hand
458(1)
Using a Spreadsheet
459(3)
Choosing a y-Axis
462(1)
Multiple Alternatives
462(4)
Spiderplots
462(3)
Scenarios
465(1)
Sensitivity Analysis with Multiple Variables
466(2)
Summary
468(4)
Uncertainty and Probability
472(30)
Probabilities
473(2)
Computing Expected Values
475(2)
Choosing Alternatives Using Expected Values
477(2)
Economic Decision Trees
479(5)
Sequential Decisions
481(1)
Cash Flows over Time
482(2)
Risk
484(3)
Risk/Return Trade-offs
487(4)
Buying Insurance
487(1)
Balancing Risks and Returns
487(3)
Efficient Frontier for Risk/Return Trade-offs
490(1)
Approaches to Risk/Return Trade-offs
490(1)
Probability Distributions for Economic Outcomes
491(6)
Probability Distributions with Multiple Independent Variables
491(2)
N and i Need Complete Distributions for Exact Answers
493(2)
Continuous and Discrete Probability Distributions
495(1)
Simulation
496(1)
Summary
497(5)
Multiple Objectives
502(83)
Multiple Attributes
503(4)
Definitions and Trade-offs
503(1)
Attribute Categories
504(1)
Selecting Multiple Objectives
505(2)
Summary
507(1)
Process of Evaluating Multiple Objectives
507(2)
Eliminating Dominated and Unsatisfactory Alternatives
509(1)
Decision Rules for Choosing the Best Alternative
509(1)
Identifying the Attributes
509(2)
Evaluating the Alternatives
511(3)
Graphical Techniques
514(1)
Shaded Circles and Squares
514(1)
Polar Graph
514(1)
Numerical Scales for Evaluation
515(4)
Numerical Variables
515(1)
Choosing the Best and Worst Case
516(2)
Verbal Variables
518(1)
Missing Values
518(1)
Additive Models
519(3)
Direct Assignment of Weights
519(1)
Subjective Assignment of Importance Ratings
519(1)
Tabular Additive Models
520(1)
Graphical Additive Models
521(1)
Closing Comment on Additive Models
521(1)
Hierarchical Attributes and Objectives
522(2)
Summary
524(4)
Appendixes
A. Accounting Effects in Engineering Economies
528(23)
A.1 Role of Accounting
529(1)
A.2 General Accounting
530(1)
Business Transactions
530(1)
A.3 Balance Sheet
531(1)
Assets
532(1)
Liabilities
532(1)
Equity
532(1)
Financial Ratios Derived from Balance Sheet Data
533(1)
A.4 Income Statement
534(1)
Financial Ratios Derived from Income Statement Data
535(1)
Linking the Balance Sheet, Income Statement, and Capital Transactions
536(1)
A.5 Traditional Cost Accounting
536(1)
Direct and Indirect Costs
537(1)
Indirect Cost Allocation
537(1)
Problems with Traditional Cost Accounting
538(1)
A.6 Activity-Based Costs
538(1)
Definition
539(2)
ABC Provides More Accurate Costs
541(1)
Using ABC
541(2)
Economic Justification Using ABC Data
543(1)
Timely and Accurate Data
544(1)
A.7 Summary
544(7)
B. End-of-Period Compound Interest Tables
551(34)
Index 585

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