Enhancement by Enlargement The Proliferation Security Initiative

by Wolf, Charles; Chow, Brian G.; Jones, Gregory S.

• ISBN13: 9780833045799
• ISBN10: 0833045792
• Format: Paperback
• Copyright: 2008-01-16
• Publisher: RAND Corporation

Summary

The purpose of the Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI) is to prevent or at least inhibit the spread of weapons of mass destruction, their delivery systems, and related materials to or from states or non-state actors whose possession of such items would be a serious threat to global or regional security. So far, 91 countries have officially affiliated with PSI and participate in its activities. However, five key nations, whose addition would enhance PSI's effectiveness, have so far been reluctant to do so. The authors look at the situation from the perspectives of these five "hold-out" nations-Indonesia, Malaysia, India, Pakistan, and China-to assess the disadvantages (costs) and advantages (benefits) that, when weighed against each other, have induced them to refrain from PSI affiliation. They then set out ways in which each country's assessment of its costs-and-benefits balance might be altered to enhance the prospects of its deciding to affiliate with PSI in the near future. The authors also describe ideas that might be developed and steps that might be taken to enhance PSI's inclusiveness and effectiveness in the future. Book jacket.

Table of Contents

Preface	p. iii
Summary	p. vii
Acknowledgments	p. xv
Abbreviations	p. xvii
Introduction	p. 1
Analysis of Costs and Benefits of PSI Affiliation for the Five Countries	p. 5
Indonesia and Malaysia	p. 6
Indonesia	p. 7
Malaysia	p. 11
Pakistan and India	p. 14
Pakistan	p. 14
India	p. 16
China	p. 19
China's Position on PSI	p. 19
Costs and Benefits of China's PSI Affiliation	p. 21
China's Reluctance to Legitimize PSI Interdictions	p. 24
Cutting the Gordian Knot: Principles and Measures to Encourage PSI Affiliation	p. 27
PSI Benefits	p. 27
The Five Principles	p. 29
Principle 1	p. 32
Principles 2 and 3	p. 32
Principle 4	p. 34
Principle 5	p. 35
Applying the Principles	p. 35
Indonesia and Malaysia	p. 35
India and Pakistan	p. 37
China	p. 37
Preliminary Ideas for Further Consideration	p. 39
Appendix
The Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI)	p. 43
Interdiction Principles of the Proliferation Security Initiative	p. 49
Status of Countries on Treaties, Agreements, and Programs of Potential Relevance to PSI	p. 53
Summary of Pakistan's Report on National Measures on the Implementation of Security Council Resolution 1540 (2004)	p. 57
References	p. 59
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