Fault Lines in China's Economic Terrain

by Wolf, Charles; Yeh, K. C.; Zycher, Benjamin; Eberstadt, Nicholas; Lee, Sung-Ho

• ISBN13: 9780833033444
• ISBN10: 0833033441
• Format: Paperback
• Copyright: 2003-06-11
• Publisher: RAND Corporation

Summary

The authors consider how and by how much China's stellar economic performance might be impaired by eight potential adversities that China may face in the next decade.

Table of Contents

Preface	p. v
Figures	p. xi
Tables	p. xiii
Summary	p. xv
Acknowledgments	p. xxiii
Acronyms and Abbreviations	p. xxv
Potential Adversities Confronting China's Continued Economic Growth	p. 1
China's Institutional and Structural Fault Lines	p. 9
Massive Unemployment and Rural Poverty	p. 11
Economic Effects of Corruption	p. 27
Sectoral Fault Lines	p. 37
Epidemic Disease: a Wild Card in China's Economic Future?	p. 39
Water Resources and Pollution	p. 75
Gdp Effects of an Energy Price Shock	p. 105
Financial Fault Lines	p. 117
China's Fragile Financial System and the State-Owned Enterprises	p. 119
Possible Shrinkage of Foreign Capital Inflows	p. 141
Security Fault Lines	p. 157
Taiwan and Other Potential Conflicts	p. 159
Conclusions: Fault Lines in China's Economic Terrain	p. 169
Epilogue	p. 179
Bibliography	p. 181
About the Authors	p. 195
Index	p. 197
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