T. J. Marta is the currency, fixed-income, and economic strategist for RBC Capital Markets. Previously, he was a senior currency analyst for CitiFX Research at Citigroup. He has also held financial positions at AT&T, Allstate Insurance, and Exchange National Bank. He lives in New Jersey. Joseph Brusuelas is chief economist and vice president of Global Strategy for Merk Investments. Previously, he was chief U.S. economist for IDEAglobal. He has held positions at Great Western Investment Management, First Fidelity Bank, and Citibank Solomon Smith Barney. He lives in Connecticut.

Introduction	p. 1
Fundamental Analysis
Purchasing Power Parity	p. 11
Real Exchange Rates and the External Balance	p. 27
Exchange-Rate Determination over the Medium Term: Parity Conditions, Capital Flows, and Current Account	p. 43
Fair-Value Regressions	p. 59
Market Sentiment and Positioning
Futures Non-Commercial Positioning	p. 97
Risk Reversals	p. 117
Technical Analysis
Trend-Following Indicators	p. 137
Oscillators	p. 167
Technical Pattern Recognition	p. 195
Case Studies	p. 211
Conclusion	p. 245
Index	p. 249
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