What is included with this book?
Preface | p. ix |
The Need for a Full View Integrated Approach | p. 1 |
The Motivation | p. 1 |
The Need for a New Paradigm | p. 1 |
The Answers from FVITA | p. 4 |
The Necessity of FVITA | p. 6 |
Random Walk? | p. 9 |
Two Basic Elements of Market Dynamics | p. 11 |
Oscillators-An Overview | p. 11 |
The Oscillator of Choice-Stochastics | p. 19 |
Trend Indicator-Moving Average | p. 21 |
Trend Indicator-Moving Average Convergence/Divergence | p. 24 |
Adaptive Trend Indicators | p. 29 |
Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average | p. 30 |
Chande's Variable Index Dynamic Average | p. 31 |
Mart's Master Trading Formula | p. 31 |
Adaptive Oscillators | p. 33 |
Other Tools of Technical Analysis | p. 33 |
Multi-Screen Systems | p. 35 |
The Need for Multi-Screen Approaches | p. 35 |
Triple Screens | p. 37 |
Extended Interval Charts in FVITA-Daily and Up | p. 39 |
Intra-Day Interval Charts in FVITA | p. 45 |
Bounded, Interval-Specific Bull and Bear Markets | p. 49 |
Interval-Specific Bull and Bear Market I-Concept | p. 49 |
Interval-Specific Bull and Bear Market II-Criteria | p. 52 |
Interval-Specific Bull and Bear Market III-Limits of Countermovements | p. 57 |
Triple Screen System Under Full View | p. 66 |
Market Turning Points and Duration of Pauses | p. 69 |
Support and Resistance | p. 69 |
Bollinger Bands | p. 74 |
Waves | p. 78 |
Turning Points after Eight and R9 Observations | p. 85 |
Thrust | p. 86 |
Type I, II, and III Pauses | p. 91 |
Trend Reversals vs. Temporary Countertrends | p. 101 |
Trend Reversals | p. 101 |
Without the Two-Day Chart | p. 108 |
Running Space after Trend Reversal | p. 109 |
Temporary Countertrends | p. 111 |
Straight Pauses | p. 122 |
Exception 1: Composite Bottoming-Up and Composite Topping-Off | p. 128 |
Exception 2: Approaching the Turning Point | p. 130 |
Relationship between Low- and High-Order Signals | p. 132 |
Trading Strategies on Trend Signals | p. 134 |
Pauses Under Different Market Conditions | p. 141 |
Pausing-Down from a Historical New High | p. 142 |
Pauses Against Temporary Trends | p. 145 |
Trading Strategies for Pauses | p. 151 |
Case Studies | p. 157 |
Case 1: The 2007 Financial Market Crisis-DJIA | p. 158 |
Case 2: The 2000 High-Tech Bubble and its Aftermath-DJIA | p. 162 |
The Formation of the High-Tech Bubble-DJIA | p. 163 |
The Bursting of the High-Tech Bubble-DJIA | p. 167 |
Case 3: The 1990 Bubble and Fall-Topix | p. 172 |
The Formation of the 1990 Bubble-Topix | p. 172 |
The Bursting of the Bubble in 1990, I-Topix | p. 177 |
The Bursting of the Bubble in 1990, II-Topix | p. 183 |
Case 4: The 2003 Rebound and 2007 Crash | p. 187 |
The Rebound in 2003-Topix | p. 187 |
The Fall after the Crash in 2007-Topix | p. 192 |
Case 5: The 2007 Crash-Shanghai Composite Index | p. 195 |
Market at the Turning Point-Shanghai Composite Index 2007 | p. 195 |
The Crash of 2007-Shanghai Composite Index | p. 201 |
Random Walk, Efficient Market vs. Market Activism | p. 207 |
Efficient Market Hypothesis-The Roots | p. 208 |
Efficient Market Hypothesis-The Evidence | p. 212 |
EMH, Market Activism and the $100 Bill Story | p. 216 |
Flawed Empirical Observations Against Market Activism | p. 217 |
A Fund to Show Effective Market Activision | p. 224 |
A Theoretical Argument for Technical Analysis | p. 228 |
Integrating Macro, Fundamental, Quantitative and Technical Analysis | p. 237 |
The Fragmented State of Market Analysis | p. 237 |
Integrating Different Technical Analyses Under FVITA | p. 239 |
Macroeconomic Analysis and FVITA | p. 240 |
Integrated Approach to News Processing | p. 241 |
Integrated Analysis of Bubbles and Panics | p. 244 |
Firm Fundamentals and FVITA | p. 248 |
Options and FVITA | p. 249 |
Other Issues | p. 253 |
Statistical Analysis | p. 253 |
Technical Analysis as Public Knowledge | p. 255 |
Concluding Remarks | p. 259 |
Glossary | p. 261 |
References | p. 265 |
Index | p. 267 |
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