Global Trends 2005 an Owner's Manual for the Next Decade : An Owner's Manual for the Next Decade

by Michael J. Mazarr and the Center for Strategic and International Studies

• ISBN13: 9780312218997
• ISBN10: 0312218990
• Format: Trade Book
• Copyright: 1999-06-12
• Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan

Summary

As social theorist Drucker pointed out, every few hundred years a sharp transformation occurs during which society rearranges itself in a variety of aspects--its worldview, its basic values, its social and political structure, its arts, its key institutions. At the end of the 20th century, we are living through precisely such a transformation. The tremendous shift from an industrial to a knowledge economy and society is generating profound new challenges even as it opens up unprecedented vistas of possibility. This "age of social transformation," to the knowledge era, Drucker wrote, "will not come to an end with the year 2000--it will not even have peaked by then." Global Trends 2005 is a look at this transition now shaking the foundations of human society. At once a vision of the future and a handbook for understanding daily events, this book will change the way you see the world--and your place in it.

Author Biography

Michael J. Mazarr is Director of the New Millennium Project at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington D.C. He is the author of North Korea and the Bomb.

Table of Contents

Acknowledgments	v
Introduction: A Transformation of Human Society	1	(24)
TREND ONE: THE FOUNDATIONS	25	(46)
A Story of Two Worlds	29	(20)
A Price Spike Economy	49	(16)
A Foundation of Human Perception: Culture	65	(6)
TREND TWO: THE ENGINES OF HISTORY	71	(44)
The Engines: Science and Technology	73	(12)
The Engines: Social and Psychological	85	(8)
Chaos and Complexity Theory	93	(6)
Where Are They Taking Us?	99	(16)
TREND THREE: A HUMAN RESOURCES ECONOMY	115	(42)
A New Kind of Economy	117	(6)
The Reorganization of Work	123	(10)
Other Aspects of the New Economy	133	(18)
Conflict in the Knowledge Era	151	(6)
TREND FOUR: AN ERA OF GLOBAL TRIBES	157	(38)
The Process of Globalization	159	(16)
Tribalism, Fragmentation, and Pluralism	175	(12)
Tribalism within Globalism	187	(8)
TREND FIVE: A TRANSFORMATION OF AUTHORITY	195	(42)
Phase One: The Decline of Hierachical Authorities	197	(16)
Implications: Social Instability and a Political Crisis	213	(4)
Phase Two: The Rise of New Authorities	217	(20)
TREND SIX: A TEST OF HUMAN PSYCHOLOGY	237	(42)
``In Over Our Heads'': Postmodern Life and Human Psychology	239	(10)
A Habit of Alienation	249	(12)
The ``Pessimism Syndrome''	261	(18)
CONCLUSION TOWARD A NEW SOCIETY	279	(18)
A New Kind of Society	283	(12)
The Authors of Our Own Destiny	295	(2)
Notes	297	(26)
Index	323