The Graying of the Great Powers Demography and Geopolitics in the 21st Century

by Jackson, Richard; Howe, Neil

• ISBN13: 9780892065325
• ISBN10: 089206532X
• Format: Paperback
• Copyright: 2008-05-23
• Publisher: Center for Strategic & International Studies

Summary

The Graying of the Great Powers offers the first comprehensive assessment of the geopolitical implications of "global aging" - the dramatic transformation in population age structures and growth rates being brought about by falling fertility and rising longevity worldwide. It describes how demographic trends in the developed world will constrain the ability of the United States and its traditional allies to maintain national and global security in the decades ahead. It also explains how dramatic demographic change in the developing world - from resurgent youth bulges in the Islamic world to premature aging in China and population implosion in Russia - will give rise to serious new security threats. While some argue that global aging is pushing the world toward greater peace and prosperity, The Graying of the Great Powers warns that a period of great geopolitical danger looms just over the horizon. Neither the triumph of multilateralism nor democratic capitalism is assured. The demographic trends of the twenty-first century will challenge the geopolitical assumptions of both the left and the right.

Author Biography

Richard Jackson is a senior fellow and director of the CSIS Global Aging Initiative, as well as an adjunct fellow at the Hudson Institute and senior adviser to the Concord Coalition. He is the author or coauthor of The Aging of Korea (MetLife, 2007), Building Human Capital in an Aging Mexico (CSIS, 2005), The Graying of the Middle Kingdom (Prudential Financial, 2004), and The Global Retirement Crisis (Citigroup, 2002).Neil Howe is a senior associate of the CSIS Global Aging Initiative, as well as a senior policy adviser to the Blackstone Group and senior adviser to the Concord Coalition. He is the author or coauthor of On Borrowed Time (Transaction, 2004), Millennials Rising (Vintage, 2000), The Fourth Turning (Broadway, 1997), and 13th gen (Vintage, 1993).

Table of Contents

Population and power	p. 7
The developed world: assessing the projections	p. 37
The developed world: assessing the consequences	p. 79
The developing world's demographic future: cause for hope or concern?	p. 133
A demographic map of our geopolitical future	p. 185
Technical notes	p. 203
Roundtable and interviews	p. 213
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