Mark H. Melin has written/edited three books,including The Chicago Board of Trade Handbook of Futures and Options, as well as coproduced the official Managed Futures CD-ROM for the Chicago Board of Trade.?Melin has worked extensively in the futures and options industry as a consultant for organizations such as the Chicago Board of Trade, OneChicago: The Single Stock Futures Exchange, as well as several Futures Commission Merchants (FCMs) and Broker Dealers (BDs). He is currently a division director with a leading FCM in Chicago.
Preface | p. ix |
Acknowledgments | p. xiii |
Disclaimer | p. xv |
Understand It: The Truth about Risk and Misunderstood Investments | p. 1 |
What Is This "Managed Futures" I've Never Heard About? | p. 2 |
Stock Market "Safety" and Other Myths | p. 3 |
Invest with Stock Market Neutral Programs | p. 5 |
The Stock Market Is Not "Safe" or "Conservative" and Does Not Offer True Diversification | p. 6 |
It Works in Practice but Does It Work in Theory? | p. 14 |
Wall Street's Motivation for Keeping Managed Futures a Secret | p. 16 |
Define It: Establish Performance and Risk Targets | p. 25 |
The Simple Managed Futures Definition | p. 27 |
Target Risk/Reward Profiles | p. 28 |
Work With It: Build Basic Portiolios Using Targets | p. 41 |
Portfolio Diversification versus Individual Manager Selection | p. 43 |
Individual CTA Analysis and Portfolio Considerations | p. 52 |
Realize It: The Old Way versus High Performance | p. 69 |
The Fastest-Growing Asset Class? | p. 69 |
This Unique and Very Special Asset Class | p. 70 |
Managed Futures Defined | p. 72 |
Decoding the D Doc | p. 85 |
Don't Be a Victim: Leverage Managed Futures Regulation and Account Structure to Avoid Hedge Fund Fraud | p. 89 |
Managed Futures Regulation, Account Structure, and Protection | p. 90 |
Transparency: The Ability to See and Understand an Investment | p. 91 |
Auditing Performance and Money Flow | p. 95 |
Tight Regulatory Control: Meet the NFA and CFTC | p. 98 |
Recognize It: Volatility + Volatility and Lintner's Message | p. 101 |
Volatility Used to Reduce Volatility | p. 103 |
All Volatility Is Risky ... To Different Degrees | p. 103 |
Standard Deviation as Measure of Volatility | p. 117 |
Use It: Reward-Adjusted Deviation (RAD) Considers Past Probability and Rewards Success | p. 119 |
Study 1: Exploring RAD with Math | p. 120 |
The Test of Success | p. 122 |
Study 2: Average Drawdown: RAD versus STD When Actual Risk Improves | p. 124 |
Study 3: Where CTAs Fall Based on RAD | p. 127 |
Risk "Indicators" Don't Indicate Risk | p. 131 |
Protect it: Principal-Protected, Conservative, and Risky Investments | p. 133 |
Don't Be Fooled | p. 134 |
Four Steps to Creating Principal-Protected Products | p. 137 |
Strategies to Maximize Return | p. 139 |
Use All of It: Overlooked Points of Correlation | p. 147 |
Is Managed Futures the World's Most Noncorrelated Asset? | p. 149 |
Balance Risk and Return: Managed Futures Cushion during Stock Turbulence | p. 150 |
Correlation Study: Major Indexes | p. 152 |
Managed Futures Noncorrelation Is Not an Accident | p. 154 |
Traditional Returns-Based Correlation Logic Is Faulty | p. 160 |
Noncorrelation with Stocks Could Be the Investor's Best Friend | p. 167 |
Build It: CTA Evaluation and Portfolio Construction | p. 169 |
Translating Investor Goals into Portfolio Design Strategy | p. 171 |
What Is the Best Method to Identify Successful CTAs? | p. 173 |
Portfolio Building with Volatility Skewing | p. 176 |
High-Performance Managed Futures Portfolio Building Exercise | p. 178 |
Why Investors Must Look Past Simple Average Return Headlines | p. 191 |
The Hidden Risk in Uneven Returns Distribution | p. 193 |
Don't Judge by Looks Alone | p. 194 |
Understand It: The Naked Truth Behind Managed Futures Risk | p. 199 |
The Simple Way to Look at Risk Management: Choke Points | p. 201 |
Leverage Can Magnify Wins as Well as Losses; Just Ask a Banker | p. 203 |
Exploring Individual Manager Risk | p. 209 |
Fraud Risk | p. 212 |
Don't Sit Back: Active Management of Risky Investments | p. 217 |
Are the Biggest Risks Those That Are Unknown? | p. 219 |
A Graphical Look at the Managed Futures Account | p. 221 |
Individual Manager Risk | p. 228 |
The Future of Managed Futures can be Found in its History | p. 230 |
Conclusion | p. 236 |
HPFM Strategy Benchmark Performance Study | p. 239 |
Twelve Questions Investors Should Ask...of Themselves | p. 242 |
Selecting a Commodity Trading Advisor | p. 244 |
Identifying True Risk and Utilizing the Best Managed Futures Performance Measure | p. 253 |
Regulated versus Unregulated Entities | p. 268 |
Markowitz and Lintner: A "Modern" Investment Method Half a Century Old | p. 271 |
Notes | p. 281 |
About the Author | p. 297 |
Index | p. 299 |
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