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9781444308907

Introduction to Modeling in Wildlife and Resource Conservation

by
  • ISBN13:

    9781444308907

  • ISBN10:

    1444308904

  • Format: eBook
  • Copyright: 2009-03-01
  • Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell
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Summary

This book provides students with the skills to develop their own models for application in conservation biology and wildlife management. Assuming no special mathematical expertise, the computational models used are kept simple and show how to develop models in both spreadsheet and programming language format. Develops thought-provoking applications which emphasize the value of modeling as a learning tool Examines basic descriptive equations, matrix representations, consumer-resources interactions, applications in simulation, scenarios, harvesting, population viability, metapopulation dynamics, disease outbreaks, vegetation stage and state dynamics, habitat suitability assessment, and model selection statistics Includes a wide range of examples relating to birds, fish, plants and large African mammals

Table of Contents

Preface
Introduction: why learn modeling?
Introduction
Structure of the book
Supporting computer software
Recommended supporting reading
Supporting file on the CD
A starting problem: conservation of the dodo
Introduction
Conservation of the dodo
Descriptive models: choosing an equation
Introduction
Dynamic equations
Geometric and exponential growth
Adding a population ceiling
Basic density-dependent models
Curvilinear density dependence
Delayed density dependence
Depensation or Allee effect
Incorporating environmental variability
Overview
Recommended supporting reading
Programs on the accompanying CD
Exercises
Structured population models: age, size, or stage
Introduction
Age-structured models
Stage-structured models
Projection versus prediction
Overview
Recommended supporting reading
Programs on the accompanying CD
Exercises
Consumer-resource models: population interactions
Introduction
Coupling population equations
Simple interactive model
Incorporating competitive interference
Ratio-dependent intake response and time frames
Accommodating environmental variability
Overview
Recommended supporting reading
Programs on the accompanying CD
Exercises
Simulation models: assessing understanding
Introduction
Adding density dependence to an age-structured model
Aspecific example: the kudu model
Simplification for management
Generalizing the model for other species
Overview
Recommended supporting reading
Programs on the accompanying CD
Exercises
Harvesting models: adaptive management
Introduction
Principles of "maximum sustained yield"
Surplus production model accommodating environmental variability
Stock-recruitment model
Policies for setting the harvest quota
Adaptive management responses
Stock-recruitment models for fish populations
Overview
Recommended supporting reading
Programs on the accompanying CD
Exercises
Population viability models: risk analysis
Introduction
Demographic stochasticity
Environmental variability and catastrophes
Genetic stochasticity
Population viability models
Overview
Recommended supporting reading
Programs on the accompanying CD
Exercises
Metapopulation models: spreading the risk
Introduction
Basic patch incidence model
Correlated migration and extinction
Variable patch size and spacing
Source and sink populations
Mainland-island habitats
Examples of vertebrate metapopulations
Overview
Recommended supporting reading
Exercises
Modeling infectious diseases: outbreak dynamics
Introduction
Basic infection model
Cyclic outbreak dynamics: measles
Slowly spreading sexually transmitted disease: HIV-AIDS
Controlling the spread of wildlife diseases
Overview
Recommended supporting reading
Exercises
Scenario models: exploring options
Introduction
Background situation
Theoretical concepts
Modeling the white rhino-grassland system
Exploring management options
Overview
Recommended supporting reading
Program on the accompanying CD
Exercises
Vegetation models: biomass to gap dynamics
Introduction
Seasonal biomass dynamics of vegetation supporting herbivores
Size-structured dynamics of a tree population
Gap dynamics model
Overview
Recommended supporting reading
Programs on the accompanying CD
Exercises
State transition models: habitat patch dynamics
Introduction
Vegetation successional dynamics
Managing savanna vegetation for livestock
Spatially explicit grid model
Overview
Recommended supporting reading
Programs on the accompanying CD
Exercises
Habitat suitability models: adaptive behavior
Introduction
Shifting habitat use by overwintering geese
Habitat suitability for a browsing antelope from vegetation composition
General principles
Overview
Recommended supporting reading
Programs on the accompanying CD
Exercises
Reconciling models with data: statistical diagnosis
Introduction
Model selection statistics
Diagnosing the causes of antelope population declines
Overview
Recommended supporting reading
Programs on the accompanying CD
Exercise
Appendices
References
Index
Table of Contents provided by Publisher. All Rights Reserved.

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