The Limited Partnership Building a Russian-US Security Community

by Goodby, James E.; Morel, Benoit

• ISBN13: 9780198291619
• ISBN10: 0198291612
• Format: Hardcover
• Copyright: 1993-04-29
• Publisher: Stockholm International Peace Research Institute

Summary

This book presents a detailed assessment of the conditions for security relations between Washington and Moscow in the post-cold war era, focusing on the scope for future co-operative management of common security. Three main areas provide the context for a thematically and theoreticallyvaried discussion: the security and foreign policy implications of the transition from the Soviet to a Russian/Commonwealth regime; military power and international stability after the cold war; and the political, military, and technological requirements for a new security relationship.

Table of Contents

Preface
Acknowledgements
Acronyms
Glossary
Introduction
Introduction	p. 3
Regime transition: from cold war to co-operative security	p. 3
Military power and international security	p. 4
Building a new security relationship	p. 6
The case for a Russian-US security community	p. 9
Danger signs	p. 10
Nuclear gridlock	p. 12
Woe and wickedness	p. 13
A gathering storm	p. 14
The problem is the solution	p. 16
Towards a defence community	p. 17
No hegemony	p. 20
Regime transition: from cold war to co-operative security
History accelerates: the diplomacy of co-operation and fragmentation	p. 25
Basic themes in post-cold war US-Soviet relations	p. 26
The new world order	p. 29
Resolution 678 and Soviet peace proposals	p. 34
Building an economic partnership	p. 37
US policy and the disintegration of the USSR	p. 40
The USA, the Commonwealth and beyond	p. 48
Moscow's nationalities problem: the collapse of empire and the challenges ahead	p. 55
Introduction: the multinational Soviet Union	p. 55
Lessons about empires	p. 56
Creation of the Russian empire	p. 59
The Soviet Union as empire	p. 60
The collapse of the Soviet empire	p. 62
The challenge of national independence	p. 64
The future of the Commonwealth: centripetal and centrifugal forces	p. 69
The international implications of the Soviet breakup	p. 71
Conclusion: causes for optimism	p. 74
A national security policy for Russia	p. 75
Three circles of Russian interests	p. 76
Creating a defence community	p. 77
The Russian Army in transition	p. 78
Russian-US partnership	p. 79
The creation of a Russian foreign policy	p. 81
The collapse of the Soviet Union	p. 81
Emerging republic foreign policy	p. 82
The development of independent Russian foreign policy	p. 82
Western policies towards centre-republic relations	p. 88
The future of Russian foreign policy	p. 91
Recommendations for the West	p. 93
Issues and images: Washington and Moscow in great power politics	p. 94
Issues and images, 1945-89	p. 95
Issues and images, 1991 and beyond	p. 102
Military power and international stability
Theatre forces in the Commonwealth of Independent States	p. 113
The political-military environment	p. 114
The impact of perestroika on CIS theatre forces	p. 118
Development of CIS operational thinking in the 1990s	p. 123
The impact of the Persian Gulf War on military thinking in the CIS	p. 130
Implications of CIS operational thinking on force structure in the year 2000	p. 133
CIS force structure options in the year 2000	p. 135
Mobilization	p. 147
A final note	p. 149
US theatre forces in the year 2000	p. 150
Force dimensions	p. 150
Conceptual organization	p. 152
US military thinking about theatre warfare in the 21st century	p. 153
The nature of US theatre forces in the year 2000	p. 159
The view from NATO	p. 162
The reinforcement problem: strategic lift	p. 165
Reserve structure	p. 167
A final word	p. 168
High technology after the cold war	p. 169
Developments in US military high technology	p. 170
The problem of technological development in Russia	p. 176
Impact on global and regional security	p. 180
Managing technological competition	p. 181
The metastable peace: a catastrophe theory model of US-Russia relations	p. 185
Why use a model?	p. 188
Which model to use?	p. 189
Model analysis	p. 199
Final observations	p. 205
Building a new security relationship
Co-operation or competition: the battle of ideas in Russia policy experts	p. 209
The roots of the interest in security co-operation	p. 209
The effort at detente	p. 212
New thinking	p. 214
The new emphasis on co-operation	p. 215
The US response to new thinking	p. 216
The Bush Administration	p. 218
Security co-operation as seen by Russian foreign policy experts	p. 219
Building a Eurasian-Atlantic security community: co-operative management of the military transition	p. 224
Conflict and chaos in the Soviet military	p. 226
Near-term measures	p. 236
Military-to-military co-operation	p. 241
Joint missions and allied operations	p. 243
Conclusion: institutionalizing the Eurasian-Atlantic security community	p. 245
Russian-US security co-operation on the high seas	p. 249
Why expand the arms control regime at sea?	p. 250
Existing measures	p. 252
Expanding security co-operation at sea	p. 259
Defence planning: the potential for transparency and co-operation	p. 272
Budget and procurement processes	p. 273
The tangibles: weapon procurement	p. 279
The intangibles: military budgets, doctrine, strategy and organization	p. 282
Conclusion: moving towards an uncertain future	p. 288
Some limits on co-operation and transparency: operational security and the use of force	p. 289
Grenada	p. 293
Panama	p. 297
The Persian Gulf War	p. 300
Implications	p. 304
About the authors	p. 306
Index	p. 308
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