Long Range Energy Research and Development A Methodology for Development and Evaluation

by Bartis, James T.

• ISBN13: 9780833035431
• ISBN10: 0833035436
• Format: Paperback
• Copyright: 2004-12-10
• Publisher: RAND Corporation

Summary

Determining energy research needs for the distant future.

Table of Contents

Preface	iii
Figures and Tables	ix
Summary	xi
Acknowledgments	xvii
Acronyms	xix
Introduction	1	(3)
Identifying Long-Range Energy R&D Needs	4	(9)
Impediments to Long-Range Energy Planning	4	(1)
Projecting Energy Needs to 2050	5	(1)
Purpose and Goals of Long-Term Energy R&D	6	(1)
Energy Threat Matrix	7	(1)
Long-Range Energy R&D Goals	8	(3)
Electric Power	9	(1)
Processed Liquid Fuels	9	(1)
Gaseous Fuels	10	(1)
Relevance and Limitations	11	(2)
Evaluating Technologies	13	(7)
System Evaluation	13	(4)
Establishing Technology Roles	13	(1)
Identifying Development Risks and Uncertainties	14	(3)
Technical Evaluation	17	(1)
Determining Underlying Fundamental Technical Problems	17	(1)
Determining R&D Needs and Opportunities	17	(1)
The Intra Tech Approach	18	(2)
Case Study: Power Generation Based on Coal Gasification	20	(13)
Current Technical Status	20	(2)
IntraTech Steps 1 and 2: Strategic Analysis	22	(1)
IntraTech Step 3: Threats and National R&D Needs Addressed by Coal Gasification for Power Generation	22	(1)
IntraTech Step 4: Performance and Affordability Risks	23	(3)
Carbon Dioxide Concentration and Sequestration	23	(1)
High-Efficiency Power Generation	24	(2)
Risk Summary	26	(1)
IntraTech Step 5: Determine Underlying Fundamental Technical Problems	26	(3)
Solid Oxide Fuel Cells	27	(1)
Oxygen-Free Gasification	28	(1)
IntraTech Step 6: Determine Research Needs and Opportunities	29	(4)
Solid Oxide Fuel Cells	29	(2)
Oxygen-Free Coal Gasification	31	(2)
Conclusions	33	(12)
Developing High-Level R&D Needs: Steps 1 and 2	33	(1)
Evaluating Technologies: Steps 3 Through 6	34	(1)
Implementing the IntraTech Approach	34	(3)
APPENDIX
A. Threat Matrix Analyses	37	(5)
B. Current Coal-Fired Power Generation	42	(3)
References	45