Preface | p. v |
Acknowledgements | p. viii |
Introduction to mathematical modelling | p. 1 |
Mathematical models | p. 2 |
An overview of the book | p. 3 |
Some modelling approaches | p. 5 |
Modelling for decision-making | p. 7 |
Compartmental models | p. 9 |
Introduction | p. 10 |
Exponential decay and radioactivity | p. 10 |
Case Study: Detecting art forgeries | p. 17 |
Case Study: Pacific rats colonise New Zealand | p. 19 |
Lake pollution models | p. 20 |
Case Study: Lake Burley Griffin | p. 26 |
Drug assimilation into the blood | p. 28 |
Case Study: Dull, dizzy or dead? | p. 33 |
Cascades of compartments | p. 37 |
First-order linear DEs | p. 38 |
Equilibrium points and stability | p. 40 |
Case Study: Money, money, money makes the world go around | p. 41 |
Exercises for Chapter 2 | p. 44 |
Models of single populations | p. 51 |
Exponential growth | p. 52 |
Density dependent growth | p. 56 |
Limited growth with harvesting | p. 63 |
Case Study: Anchovy wipe-out | p. 65 |
Case Study: How can 2 x 10[superscript 6] birds mean rare? | p. 66 |
Discrete population growth and chaos | p. 67 |
Time-delayed regulation | p. 74 |
Case Study: Australian blowflies | p. 76 |
Exercises for Chapter 3 | p. 77 |
Numerical solution of differential equations | p. 83 |
Introduction | p. 84 |
Basic numerical schemes | p. 84 |
Computer implementation using Maple and MATLAB | p. 87 |
Instability | p. 89 |
Discussion | p. 90 |
Exercises for Chapter 4 | p. 91 |
Interacting population models | p. 95 |
Introduction | p. 96 |
An epidemic model for influenza | p. 97 |
Predators and prey | p. 106 |
Case Study: Nile Perch catastrophe | p. 113 |
Competing species | p. 114 |
Case Study: Aggressive protection of lerps and nymphs | p. 119 |
Model of a battle | p. 120 |
Case Study: Rise and fall of civilisations | p. 125 |
Exercises for Chapter 5 | p. 128 |
Phase-plane analysis | p. 135 |
Introduction | p. 136 |
Phase-plane analysis of epidemic model | p. 139 |
Analysis of a battle model | p. 143 |
Analysis of a predator-prey model | p. 148 |
Analysis of competing species models | p. 152 |
Closed trajectories for the predator-prey | p. 158 |
Case Study: Bacteria battle in the gut | p. 160 |
Exercises for Chapter 6 | p. 162 |
Linearisation analysis | p. 169 |
Introduction | p. 170 |
Linear theory | p. 170 |
Applications of linear theory | p. 179 |
Nonlinear theory | p. 181 |
Applications of nonlinear theory | p. 184 |
Exercises for Chapter 7 | p. 187 |
Some extended population models | p. 191 |
Introduction | p. 192 |
Case Study: Competition, predation and diversity | p. 192 |
Extended predator-prey model | p. 193 |
Case Study: Lemming mass suicides? | p. 198 |
Case Study: Prickly-pear meets its moth | p. 200 |
Case Study: Geese defy mathematical convention | p. 202 |
Case Study: Possums threaten New Zealand cows | p. 206 |
Exercises for Chapter 8 | p. 212 |
Formulating basic heat models | p. 217 |
Introduction | p. 218 |
Some basic physical laws | p. 219 |
Model for a hot water heater | p. 222 |
Heat conduction and Fourier's law | p. 226 |
Heat conduction through a wall | p. 228 |
Radial heat conduction | p. 232 |
Heat fins | p. 234 |
Exercises for Chapter 9 | p. 238 |
Solving time dependent heat problems | p. 241 |
The cooling coffee problem revisited | p. 242 |
The hot water heater problem revisited | p. 244 |
Case Study: It's hot and stuffy in the attic | p. 248 |
Spontaneous combustion | p. 250 |
Case Study: Fish and chips explode | p. 257 |
Exercises for Chapter 10 | p. 258 |
Solving heat conduction problems | p. 263 |
Boundary value problems | p. 264 |
Heat loss through a wall | p. 266 |
Case Study: Double glazing: What's it worth? | p. 271 |
Insulating a water pipe | p. 274 |
Cooling a computer chip | p. 279 |
Exercises for Chapter 11 | p. 284 |
Introduction to partial differential equations | p. 289 |
The heat conduction equation | p. 290 |
Oscillating soil temperatures | p. 292 |
Case Study: Detecting land mines | p. 296 |
Lake pollution revisited | p. 299 |
Exercises for Chapter 12 | p. 306 |
Differential equations | p. 309 |
Properties of differential equations | p. 309 |
Solution by inspection | p. 310 |
First-order separable equations | p. 311 |
First-order linear equations and integrating factors | p. 312 |
Homogeneous equations | p. 313 |
Inhomogeneous equations | p. 314 |
Further mathematics | p. 317 |
Linear algebra | p. 317 |
Partial derivatives and Taylor expansions | p. 320 |
Review of complex numbers | p. 323 |
Hyperbolic functions | p. 323 |
Integration using partial fractions | p. 325 |
Notes on Maple and MATLAB | p. 327 |
Brief introduction to Maple | p. 327 |
Solving differential equations with Maple | p. 327 |
Brief introduction to MATLAB | p. 329 |
Solving differential equations with MATLAB | p. 330 |
Units and scaling | p. 335 |
Scaling differntial equations | p. 335 |
SI Units | p. 337 |
References | p. 339 |
Index | p. 343 |
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